Zalgiris Vilnius - Siauliai Futbolo Akademija prediction 6 September 2026

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Siauliai Futbolo Akademija prediction for the A Lyga match on Sep 06, 2026, at 16:00. Zalgiris Vilnius is the clear favorite with a 70% win probability, while Siauliai Futbolo Akademija has just a 10% chance. The match will be played at Zalgiris Vilnius's home ground.

Team Form

Zalgiris Vilnius comes into this match with a poor recent record: L, W, L, L, L in their last five games. The only win was a 2-0 home victory over Dziugas Telsiai on Aug 23. Losses include a 2-5 home defeat to Hajduk Split, a 0-4 away loss to Hajduk, a 2-3 home loss to Banga Gargzdai, and a 0-2 away loss to Baltija Panevezys.

Siauliai Futbolo Akademija's form is equally weak: L, L, W, L, L. Their sole win came at home against Baltija Panevezys (1-0) on Aug 17. Defeats were a 1-2 home loss to Suduva Marijampole, a 0-3 away loss to Transinvest, a 3-4 home loss to Dziugas Telsiai, and a 1-3 home loss to Banga Gargzdai. Both teams have earned just one win from their last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In 19 meetings, Zalgiris Vilnius has won 9, drawn 7, and lost only 3 to Siauliai Futbolo Akademija. The last five matches all ended in Zalgiris victories: 3-0 away (Jul 05, 2026), 3-1 home (May 06, 2026), 2-0 away (Mar 07, 2026), 4-2 home (friendly, Jan 31, 2026), and 1-0 home (Oct 26, 2025). Zalgiris has scored 13 goals and conceded only 3 in these five encounters, showing complete dominance.

League Table Positions

Zalgiris Vilnius sits 6th in the A Lyga with 37 points from 24 matches (11 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses). Siauliai Futbolo Akademija is 9th, with just 16 points from 26 matches (3 wins, 7 draws, 16 losses) – a 21-point gap. At home, Zalgiris has collected 19 points from 12 games (6 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses), while Siauliai's away form is not listed in the top 8, indicating a very poor record on the road.

Win Probability: Zalgiris Vilnius or Siauliai Futbolo Akademija?

Based on the bookmakers' odds, the implied probabilities are: Zalgiris Vilnius 60%, draw 28%, Siauliai Futbolo Akademija 12%. Adjusting for the one-sided head-to-head record (all last 5 wins) and the 21-point gap in the standings, Zalgiris's win probability rises to 70%, the draw drops to 20%, and Siauliai's chance falls to 10%. The home advantage further strengthens the favorite's position.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available are around 1.30 for a Zalgiris Vilnius win, 2.75 for a draw, and 6.50 for a Siauliai Futbolo Akademija win. Bookmakers heavily favor the home side. Based on the stats, head-to-head history, and league table, Zalgiris Vilnius is expected to win this match, likely keeping a clean sheet given Siauliai's weak offense.