SibboV vs JaPS/47 prediction for the Kolmonen match on Sep 30, 2026, at 17:45. Based on the latest odds and team form, SibboV are the favorites with a 60% win probability. JaPS/47 have a 20% chance, while the draw is at 20%.
SibboV's last five results: W, D, W, W, W. They have been in superb form, particularly at home. On Sep 26, they beat FC Lahti 69 5-1. A week earlier, they drew 1-1 with TuPS. On Sep 5, they thrashed Gnistan Ogeli 7-2. Away from home, they won 3-0 at TiPS U21 on Aug 27. And on Aug 1, they defeated ToTe/Tapio 4-2 at home. SibboV have scored 20 goals in these five matches, conceding just 6.
JaPS/47's last five results: W, W, L, W, W. They have also been impressive. On Sep 25, they won 5-0 away at Atlantis FC/Akatemia. On Sep 16, they demolished TiPS U21 9-1 at home. Their only recent loss came on Sep 4, a 4-1 defeat at Helsingin Ponnistus. They bounced back with a 3-0 home win over RiPS Riihimaki on Aug 27, and a 3-1 away win at TuPS on Aug 20. JaPS/47 have netted 21 goals in their last five outings, conceding 6.
These two sides have met only once before, on Jul 4, 2026, in the Kolmonen league. That match ended in a 0-0 draw. With such a limited head-to-head history, it's hard to draw definitive conclusions, but the stalemate suggests a competitive encounter.
Based on the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
The implied probabilities from the odds (after removing the bookmaker margin) are approximately 59% for a SibboV win, 19% for a draw, and 22% for a JaPS/47 win. We have adjusted these slightly to 60-20-20 based on SibboV's home advantage and both teams' recent scoring form. SibboV's only dropped points at home came in a draw, while JaPS/47 have lost just once in five, but that loss was away. The draw probability is kept at 20% because both teams have shown they can score and concede, making a stalemate less likely. Overall, SibboV are the more likely winners.
The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market are: SibboV win at 1.50, a draw at 4.75, and JaPS/47 win at 4.10. Bookmakers clearly see SibboV as the favorite. Our prediction aligns with this view: a home win is the most probable outcome. However, JaPS/47's recent goal-scoring form means they cannot be underestimated. Both teams have been scoring freely, suggesting a high-scoring match. A low-scoring draw is also a possibility, but the value may lie in backing SibboV to win.