SIF (Sundom IF) - FC Ylivieska prediction 27 August 2026

SIF (Sundom IF) vs FC Ylivieska prediction for the Kolmonen match on August 27, 2026. Based on the latest stats and odds, SIF (Sundom IF) enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while FC Ylivieska has a 30% chance and a draw stands at 25%. The match kicks off at 15:00 local time in Finland.

Team Form

SIF (Sundom IF) have had mixed results in their last five matches, recording three wins and two losses (W, L, L, W, W). They secured a 4-3 away victory against NIK on August 18, but suffered a 1-3 defeat at VIFK and a heavy 1-5 home loss to Kiisto. Wins over Larsmo Bollklubb (2-0) and Sporting Kristina (2-1) showed their capability. Overall, they scored 10 goals and conceded 12 in this period, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

FC Ylivieska come into this fixture with a slightly better recent form, earning three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, W, D, W, L). They beat Lapuan Virkia 3-2 away and NIK 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 with VIFK, and edged Kiisto 1-0 on the road. Their only setback was a 1-5 home loss to Kiisto. FC Ylivieska have scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in these five games, showing a more balanced performance.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times in recent Kolmonen seasons. SIF (Sundom IF) leads the head-to-head with two wins to FC Ylivieska's one, and no draws have been recorded. The most recent encounter on June 4, 2026, saw FC Ylivieska triumph 2-1 at home. Prior to that, SIF won 5-2 at home in July 2025 and 3-2 away in May 2025. The overall goal tally stands at 10-6 in SIF's favor, but the latest result gives FC Ylivieska confidence.

Win Probability: SIF (Sundom IF) or FC Ylivieska?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities: SIF (Sundom IF) has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and FC Ylivieska has a 30% chance. The bookmaker odds implied a home win probability around 43%, a draw around 22%, and an away win around 35%. We adjusted these figures slightly upward for SIF due to home advantage and their overall H2H edge, but kept the away win probability at 30% because FC Ylivieska won the most recent meeting and are in decent form. The draw probability was increased to reflect the competitive nature of the matchup. In conclusion, SIF (Sundom IF) is the more likely winner, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

SIF (Sundom IF) vs FC Ylivieska Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers have priced SIF (Sundom IF) as the favorite with odds of 2.05 to 2.10 for a home win. The draw is offered at 3.85 to 4.20, and an FC Ylivieska victory pays 2.50 to 2.65. These odds reflect the expectation of a close contest. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a SIF (Sundom IF) win, but with a significant chance of a draw or an away upset. Bettors should consider the home side's inconsistent defense and FC Ylivieska's ability to score on the road. The match could see over 2.5 goals given both teams' recent scoring records.