Ulsan Citizen - Siheung Citizen prediction 3 October 2026

Our Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen prediction for this K-League 3 match on Oct 3, 2026 at 09:00 points strongly towards the league leaders. Based on all available stats – league positions, recent form and head-to-head records – Siheung Citizen is the clear favorite with a win probability of about 55%, while a home win for Ulsan sits at just 20%, and a draw at 25%.

Team Form

Ulsan Citizen (last 5 matches):

• Daejeon Korail 0-1 Ulsan Citizen (W – Sep 11)
• Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Gyeongju KHNP (L – Sep 5)
• Ulsan Citizen 2-1 Busan Transportation Corporation (W – Aug 30)
• Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Reserves 0-1 Ulsan Citizen (W – Aug 23)
• Busan Transportation Corporation 1-0 Ulsan Citizen (L – Aug 14)

Ulsan’s form is inconsistent, with three wins and two losses in that run. Their only home defeat came against a strong Gyeongju KHNP side, and they have struggled to find a reliable rhythm at home all season.

Siheung Citizen (last 5 matches):

• Siheung Citizen 3-1 Changwon City (W – Sep 13)
• Yangpyeong 1-3 Siheung Citizen (W – Sep 6)
• Siheung Citizen 3-2 Pocheon (W – Aug 30)
• Siheung Citizen 2-0 Daejeon Korail (W – Aug 23)
• Gyeongju KHNP 1-0 Siheung Citizen (L – Jul 25)

The table-toppers have recorded four wins in their last five outings, scoring freely and only dropping points away to another promotion contender. Their attack has netted 11 goals in those four victories.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent meetings between these two clubs heavily favor the away side Siheung Citizen. In the last four head-to-head matches, Siheung have won three times and Ulsan once, with no draws. The scores were:

• Jun 13, 2026: Siheung Citizen 0-1 Ulsan Citizen
• May 9, 2026: Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Siheung Citizen
• Sep 26, 2025: Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Siheung Citizen
• May 31, 2025: Siheung Citizen 2-1 Ulsan Citizen

Notably, Ulsan have failed to score in both home fixtures against Siheung since September 2025, losing 0-1 each time.

League Table Positions

Siheung Citizen sit top of the K-League 3 with 52 points from 22 matches (16 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). Ulsan Citizen are 8th with 28 points – a 24‑point gap that underlines the difference in quality this season.

Siheung’s away form is the best in the division: 8 wins, 1 draw and only 1 defeat in 10 road trips, scoring 16 goals and conceding just 8. Ulsan’s home record is moderate – from 12 home games they have collected only 14 points (4 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses).

Win Probability: Ulsan Citizen or Siheung Citizen?

Considering all the facts, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• Siheung Citizen win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Ulsan Citizen win: 20%

The home side Ulsan carries just a 20% chance of taking all three points, while Siheung has a 55% chance to win and the draw stands at 25%.

This weighting is driven by Siheung’s far superior league campaign, their outstanding away record (only one loss on the road), their dominant head-to-head run in which they have won 3 of the last 4, and Ulsan’s poor scoring record in home meetings against Siheung. Ulsan’s home form – just 14 points from 12 games – does not suggest they can overturn the favorite.

Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers’ odds are not currently displayed for this fixture, but based on the stats any market would price Siheung Citizen as the clear favorite. The combination of top‑of‑the‑table form, a near‑perfect away record and a strong psychological edge from recent H2H matches makes the visitors the side most likely to win.

Our final Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen prediction: Siheung Citizen to win. The head-to-head trend of away‑side victories and Ulsan’s difficulty finding the net at home against this opponent further strengthen the case for an away success.