Silivrispor - Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor prediction 3 October 2026

Silivrispor vs Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor prediction for the 3 Lig match on October 3, 2026. Based on our analysis, Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor is the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while Silivrispor has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Silivrispor's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins and three losses (L,W,W,L,L). Their most recent outing was a 1-0 defeat away to Kartal Bulvarspor on September 27. At home, they beat Beykoz Ishakli SF 2-1 on September 6 but lost 1-2 to Bursa Nilufer FK in April. Overall, Silivrispor have struggled for consistency, especially in defense, conceding in four of those five games.

• Sep 27: Kartal Bulvarspor 1-0 Silivrispor (L)
• Sep 6: Silivrispor 2-1 Beykoz Ishakli SF (W)
• Apr 18: 1926 Polatli Belediyespor 0-2 Silivrispor (W)
• Apr 12: Silivrispor 1-2 Bursa Nilufer FK (L)
• Apr 5: Kestel Cilekspor 2-0 Silivrispor (L)

Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor, on the other hand, have shown better form with three wins and two losses in their last five (W,L,L,W,W). They come into this match after a 1-0 away win against Kartal Bulvarspor on September 12. Their away performances have been solid, winning two of their last three on the road, including a 2-1 victory at Yeni Amasyaspor. The team has kept two clean sheets in those five matches, indicating a relatively sturdy defense.

• Sep 12: Kartal Bulvarspor 0-1 Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor (W)
• Apr 28: Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor 0-3 Yozgat Belediyesi Bozokspor (L)
• Apr 12: Bulancakspor 1-0 Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor (L)
• Apr 5: Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor 1-0 Cayelispor (W)
• Mar 28: Yeni Amasyaspor 1-2 Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor (W)

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Silivrispor and Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor. This will be their first ever meeting, so no historical data can be used to predict the outcome.

Win Probability: Silivrispor or Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor?

We calculate the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the home/away factor. The average odds across multiple bookmakers imply a very balanced match. After normalizing the inverse odds to remove the margin, the raw probabilities were approximately 32% for a Silivrispor win, 35% for a draw, and 33% for a Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor win. League table positions are not available for this analysis, so we rely solely on form and odds. Adjusting for the away team's superior recent form (3 wins in 5 vs. 2 wins in 5) and their strong away performances, we slightly increase their chances. The final probabilities are: Silivrispor win 30%, draw 35%, Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor win 35%. Therefore, Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor is the marginal favorite to win this match, but a draw is equally likely.

Silivrispor vs Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor Prediction

Bookmakers offer a wide range of odds for this 3 Lig encounter. The home win is priced between 2.50 and 3.20, the draw between 2.00 and 3.20, and the away win between 2.50 and 3.10. The low draw odds from some bookmakers (as low as 2.00) reflect the expectation of a tight, evenly matched contest. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a draw or a narrow win for the away side. Our prediction: Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor has a slight edge, but betting on the draw could offer value. Always check the latest team news before placing any bets.