FC Ylivieska vs SJK Akatemia 2 prediction for the Kolmonen match on Sep 03, 2026 at 16:00. Based on the odds and recent form, FC Ylivieska is the favorite with a 45% win probability.
FC Ylivieska come into this fixture with a strong recent run: three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their last outing was a 4-3 away defeat to SIF (Sundom IF) on Aug 27, but before that they recorded away victories against Lapuan Virkia (3-2) and Kiisto (1-0), a home win over NIK (2-1), and a 1-1 home draw with VIFK. The team has scored in all five games, averaging two goals per match.
SJK Akatemia 2 are less consistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. Most recently they lost 1-0 at home to JBK Jakobstads Bollklubb on Aug 22. They drew 2-2 away against Narpes Kraft and 2-2 away at JS Hercules, beat VIFK 2-1 at home, and lost 4-2 at home to GBK Kokkola. Defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, conceding in four of those five fixtures.
There are no previous meetings between FC Ylivieska and SJK Akatemia 2. This will be the first competitive head-to-head encounter.
After analyzing the odds, recent form, and home advantage, the outcome probabilities are:
FC Ylivieska are the clear favorites based on their superior recent results and the benefit of playing at home. The 45% chance reflects their stronger form trend (three wins in five) compared to SJK Akatemia 2's one win in five. Home advantage in Kolmonen often translates into a higher win probability, and the bookmakers' odds support this view. The draw is a realistic outcome given the two draws in SJK Akatemia 2's last five, but the data suggests a home win is the most likely result.
Bookmakers have priced the match as follows: FC Ylivieska at 2.30, a draw at 2.95, and SJK Akatemia 2 at 2.87. These odds imply a slight edge for the home side, which aligns with the form analysis. Our prediction, based on the stats, is that FC Ylivieska are the more probable winner. The recommended betting tip is a home win, but the draw odds also offer value given the visitors' habit of sharing points. Expect a match with a total goals tally around 2.5, reflecting both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns.