| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 48:26 | +22 | 59 | |
| 2 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 44:23 | +21 | 52 | |
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 51:31 | +20 | 47 | |
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:22 | +16 | 47 | |
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 38 | |
| 6 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 32 | |
| 7 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 | |
| 8 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 27 | |
| 9 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:49 | -16 | 25 | |
| 10 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23:47 | -24 | 17 |
The SJK Akatemia vs KäPa Kapylan Pallo prediction for the Ykkosliiga clash on Sep 19, 2026, at 15:00 points towards a tightly contested draw. Based on our win probability analysis, SJK Akatemia has a 36% chance of winning, the draw is at 34%, and KäPa Kapylan Pallo has a 30% chance. Bookmakers see this as an open game, with the home side holding a slight edge.
SJK Akatemia's recent form is poor, with only one win in their last five matches (W1, D1, L3). They lost 2-3 at home to JaPS and suffered a heavy 2-6 defeat against Klubi 04. Their only victory came away at JIPPO (0-1). KäPa Kapylan Pallo is also struggling, failing to win any of their last five (D2, L3). A 1-4 home loss to PK-35 Vantaa and a 1-3 defeat against JIPPO highlight their defensive issues.
The head-to-head record heavily favors draws. In their last four meetings, three ended in stalemates, including two 2-2 draws in the Ykkosliiga this season. KäPa Kapylan Pallo won the most recent league encounter 3-1 at home in September 2025. Overall, across four matches, KäPa has 1 win and there have been 3 draws.
Both teams are at the bottom of the Ykkosliiga table. KäPa Kapylan Pallo sits 9th with 18 points from 23 matches, while SJK Akatemia is 10th with just 13 points. SJK Akatemia has the worst home record in the league, with only 2 wins all season. KäPa's away form is also weak, but they have managed 4 wins overall compared to SJK's 2.
We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and league positions. The average bookmaker odds imply a tight contest. After normalizing to remove the margin, SJK Akatemia has a 36% chance of winning, the draw is at 34%, and KäPa Kapylan Pallo has a 30% chance. The home advantage for SJK Akatemia is offset by their terrible form and league position, making the draw the most likely specific outcome, though SJK Akatemia is the marginal favorite to win.
The best available odds for this match are 2.35 for a home win, 2.30 for the draw, and 2.82 for an away win. Bookmakers see SJK Akatemia as the slight favorite, but the odds are very close. Based on the stats, the most probable result is a low-scoring draw. Both teams have struggled for goals, with SJK Akatemia scoring only 14 in 23 games. Our SJK Akatemia vs KäPa Kapylan Pallo prediction is a draw, with under 2.5 total goals looking likely.