The Tj Sokol Pencin vs SK Stap Tratec Vilemov prediction for the 5 Liga match on Sep 05, 2026, at 12:00 points to a home-favorite clash. Based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, Tj Sokol Pencin has a 48% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 30% and SK Stap Tratec Vilemov at 22%.
Tj Sokol Pencin's last four matches: W, D, L, L. They won 3-1 away at Zelezny Brod on Aug 29, 2026, drew 2-2 at home with Spartak Chrastava on Oct 11, 2025, lost 1-2 at home to FK Sedmihorky on Sep 27, 2025, and lost 1-4 at home to FK Arsenal Ceska Lipa B in the Cup on Sep 13, 2025. The recent form shows only one win in four, with defensive issues at home.
SK Stap Tratec Vilemov's last five away/overall matches: W, L, W, L, L. They won 3-2 at SK Sluknov on Sep 10, 2025, lost 2-3 at FC Pencin A on Sep 06, 2025, won 6-1 at home over Spartak Chrastava on Aug 16, 2025, lost 0-2 at Velke Hamry B on Apr 13, 2025, and lost 1-4 at home to FK Louny in the 4 Liga on Aug 07, 2022. The away form is inconsistent, with two wins from five but also heavy defeats.
There is no recorded head-to-head history between Tj Sokol Pencin and SK Stap Tratec Vilemov (0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins). This will be the first meeting between the two sides.
Based on the 1X2 odds (home 2.00, draw 2.75, away 3.80), the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin are 44.4% for a home win, 32.3% for a draw, and 23.3% for an away win. Adjusting for the home team's slightly better recent form (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses vs. the away team's 2 wins, 3 losses) and the home advantage, we estimate the final probabilities as: Tj Sokol Pencin win 48%, draw 30%, SK Stap Tratec Vilemov win 22%. Tj Sokol Pencin is therefore more likely to win, but the match remains competitive.
Bookmakers offer the following odds: home win at 2.00, draw at 2.75, away win at 3.80. The odds clearly mark Tj Sokol Pencin as the favorite. Our prediction: Tj Sokol Pencin to win, given the home advantage and the slightly superior form. However, the draw is a realistic outcome, and SK Stap Tratec Vilemov could cause an upset if they replicate their 6-1 win from August 2025.