Skedsmo - Kongsvinger II prediction 24 October 2026

The Skedsmo vs Kongsvinger II prediction for the 3rd Division match on Aug 24, 2025, at 16:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Skedsmo is the favorite with a 55% win probability.

Team Form

Skedsmo enters this fixture in excellent shape, having won four of their last five matches. After a narrow 0-1 home loss to Skjetten, they bounced back with four consecutive victories: a 3-2 away win at Tromso 2, a 2-0 home success against Skjervoy, another 3-2 away triumph at Floya, and a solid 2-0 home win over Alta. During this run, Skedsmo scored 10 goals and conceded only 5, keeping two clean sheets at home. Their attacking consistency and defensive solidity at home make them a formidable opponent.

Kongsvinger II's recent form is far less convincing. Their last five results show two wins, one draw, and two defeats. They suffered a heavy 1-6 away loss to Harstad, then lost 3-5 at home to Skjetten, before recovering with a 2-1 home win over Tromso 2, a 1-1 home draw with Alta, and a 3-1 home victory against Lillestrom II. Notably, their only away game in this stretch ended in a six-goal thrashing, exposing serious defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Overall, Kongsvinger II have conceded 14 goals in these five matches, an average of nearly three per game.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice before, with the home team winning on each occasion. Skedsmo claimed a 2-0 victory at home in May 2025, while Kongsvinger II responded with a 3-1 home win in August 2025. The pattern strongly suggests that home advantage is decisive in this matchup, which further boosts Skedsmo's chances for this encounter.

League Table Positions

Neither Skedsmo nor Kongsvinger II appear in the top 12 of the 3rd Division standings, indicating both are positioned in the lower half of the table. While exact rankings are unavailable, the form guide clearly points to Skedsmo being in better competitive shape heading into this game.

Win Probability: Skedsmo or Kongsvinger II?

After evaluating all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Skedsmo win – 55%, draw – 25%, Kongsvinger II win – 20%. This assessment is based on Skedsmo's superior recent form (four wins in five games), their strong home performances, and the head-to-head trend where the home team has won both previous meetings. Kongsvinger II's poor away record and leaky defense significantly reduce their likelihood of causing an upset. While a draw is a plausible outcome, the balance of probabilities favors a home victory.

Skedsmo vs Kongsvinger II Prediction & Betting Tips

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. However, based on the statistical analysis, Skedsmo is the predicted winner. The most likely match outcome is a home win, with a possible correct score of 2-0 or 2-1. For betting tips, backing Skedsmo to win appears the safest option, while the under 2.5 goals market could also offer value given Skedsmo's recent defensive record at home.