Skedsmo U19 - Skeid Oslo U19 prediction 1 October 2026

The Skedsmo U19 vs Skeid Oslo U19 prediction for this NM Cup U19 clash on October 1, 2026, at 19:30 points towards a tight contest where Skeid Oslo U19 holds a slight edge. Based on our win probability analysis, Skeid Oslo U19 has a 42% chance of winning, while Skedsmo U19 sits at 35%, and the draw is at 23%.

Team Form

Skedsmo U19 enters this match with inconsistent form in their last five outings, recording two wins, two losses, and one draw (W-W-L-L-D). Their most recent match was a 4-2 away defeat to Ready Football U19 on September 24. Prior to that, they suffered a 4-2 loss at Lillehammer U19 but showed their potential with a dominant 7-0 home victory against Ullensaker-Kisa U19 on September 10.

Skeid Oslo U19 also shows mixed recent results with two wins, two losses, and one draw (W-D-L-L-W). They are coming off a strong 7-0 home win over Ullensaker-Kisa U19 on September 24. Before that, they played a 3-3 draw at Asker U19 and suffered a heavy 6-3 home loss to Ullern U19, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Skeid Oslo U19, who have won all three previous encounters against Skedsmo U19. The most recent meetings both took place on October 11, 2019, in the Championship U19, where Skeid Oslo U19 won 2-1 at home. Earlier that year, on June 7, Skeid Oslo U19 secured a convincing 4-1 away victory. Skedsmo U19 has yet to register a win or a draw in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither Skedsmo U19 nor Skeid Oslo U19 appear in the provided NM Cup U19 league table standings. The standings data features other teams such as Lillestrom U19 leading with 14 points, followed by Stabaek U19 and Ham-Kam U19. Without direct positional data for these two sides, the league table context cannot be used to separate them.

Win Probability: Skedsmo U19 or Skeid Oslo U19?

We calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Skedsmo U19 win — 35%, Draw — 23%, Skeid Oslo U19 win — 42%. This assessment is derived from the available odds (home 2.25, draw 2.88, away 2.75), which imply a tight market. The odds are normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted based on the head-to-head record, where Skeid Oslo U19 has a perfect 3-0 record against Skedsmo U19. While recent form is similar for both teams, the historical dominance of Skeid Oslo U19 in this fixture gives them the statistical advantage, making them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match are 2.25 for a Skedsmo U19 home win, 2.88 for the draw, and 2.75 for an away win for Skeid Oslo U19. These odds suggest that bookmakers see Skedsmo U19 as the marginal favorite, likely due to home advantage. However, based on the comprehensive stats, particularly the head-to-head record where Skeid Oslo U19 has won all three previous meetings, the value may lie with the away side. Our prediction is that Skeid Oslo U19 is more likely to progress, but a closely fought match is expected.