Skive - HIK Hellerup prediction 3 October 2026

Skive vs HIK Hellerup prediction for the Denmark 2nd Division clash on Oct 3, 2026 at 13:00. Our analysis gives Skive a 57% chance of winning, with the draw at 23% and HIK Hellerup at 20%.

Team Form

Skive come into this match with inconsistent recent results. Their last five matches read L, W, D, D, L:

• Sep 26: VSK Aarhus 1–0 Skive (L)
• Sep 18: Skive 2–1 B93 Copenhagen (W)
• Sep 13: Skive 0–0 Middelfart (D)
• Sep 5: FA 2000 2–2 Skive (D)
• Aug 30: Skive 1–2 Naestved BK (L)

At home, Skive have managed just 1 win in 5 league outings, scoring 5 and conceding 8. That 2–1 victory over B93 Copenhagen is their sole bright spot at home this season.

HIK Hellerup are struggling even more, especially on the road. Their recent five games show D, L, L, L, W:

• Sep 25: HIK Hellerup 1–1 Roskilde Boldklub 1906 (D)
• Sep 18: Nykobing FC 3–0 HIK Hellerup (L)
• Sep 15 (Cup): HIK Hellerup 0–5 Esbjerg (L)
• Sep 11: Fremad Amager 2–1 HIK Hellerup (L)
• Sep 5: HIK Hellerup 2–1 Brabrand IF (W)

HIK’s away league record is grim – no wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats, with only 2 goals scored and 9 conceded in four trips.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically these sides are deadlocked at 6 wins apiece from 12 meetings, with not a single draw on the board. The most recent five encounters, though, give a slight edge to HIK Hellerup:

• Oct 25, 2025: HIK Hellerup 1–0 Skive
• Aug 30, 2025: Skive 1–2 HIK Hellerup
• Nov 16, 2024: HIK Hellerup 0–3 Skive
• Aug 12, 2023: HIK Hellerup 0–1 Skive
• Jun 3, 2023: Skive 0–2 HIK Hellerup

HIK have won three of the last five, but two of those wins came at Skive’s ground. Expect another tightly fought contest where a draw remains unlikely based on past meetings.

League Table Positions

Skive sit 8th in the 2nd Division with 11 points (3W, 2D, 4L), scoring 11 and conceding 12. HIK Hellerup are just below in 9th, with 8 points (2W, 2D, 5L), a goal difference of 8–16. The home/away splits are revealing:

• Skive at home: 5 played, 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, goals 5–8 (7th in away table with 7 pts from 4 away, but home form is weaker).
• HIK away: 4 played, 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, goals 2–9.

The table underlines one key fact: HIK Hellerup are yet to win an away league game this season, while Skive have struggled to make home advantage count.

Win Probability: Skive or HIK Hellerup?

Based on the bookmaker odds (1.58 home, 3.85 draw, 4.50 away) and the teams’ form, we calculate the following probabilities:

• Skive win: 57%
• Draw: 23%
• HIK Hellerup win: 20%

The odds imply Skive are clear favorites, and the stats back it up. HIK’s inability to win on the road – zero away league victories – significantly reduces their chances. Skive’s home record is far from perfect, but facing the division’s weakest away team tips the scales. A draw is less likely than the pure odds suggest because these two sides have drawn in none of their 12 previous meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds available are: Skive win at 1.58, draw at 3.85, HIK Hellerup win at 4.50. Bookmakers see Skive as the strong favourite, and the data supports that stance.

Prediction summary: Skive to win is the most probable match outcome. HIK Hellerup’s away struggles (0 wins, 2 goals in 4 away games) and their defensive fragility (16 goals conceded in 9 matches) point towards a home success. However, given Skive’s own patchy home form (only 1 win in 5 home games), a one-goal margin victory is the most realistic scenario. The historical lack of draws also suggests backing a result rather than a stalemate.