Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia prediction 18 September 2026

Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia prediction for the 1st League match on Sep 18, 2026, at 17:00 at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov. Based on our analysis, CSKA 1948 Sofia has a 40% chance of winning, while Slavia Sofia has an 18% chance, and a draw stands at 42%. Bookmakers also see the away side as the favorite, but the high draw probability makes this a tight contest.

Team Form

Slavia Sofia's last five matches show one win, three draws, and one loss (D, W, L, D, D). They drew 0-0 with Spartak Varna, won 1-0 at Dunav Ruse, lost 1-2 to Levski Sofia, drew 1-1 with Septemvri Sofia, and drew 1-1 at Ludogorets Razgrad. The team has scored only 3 goals in that span, highlighting a lack of attacking firepower. At home this season, Slavia is yet to win (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), with just 3 goals scored and 4 conceded.

CSKA 1948 Sofia's recent form is mixed: three wins and two losses (W, L, W, L, W). They beat Dunav Ruse 2-1, lost 0-1 at Levski Sofia, beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0, lost 0-1 at Septemvri Sofia, and thrashed Cherno More Varna 4-1. Notably, both defeats came away from home, exposing a vulnerability on the road. Their overall away record this season is 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record between these two sides reads: Slavia Sofia 3 wins, 5 draws, CSKA 1948 Sofia 6 wins. In the last five meetings, CSKA 1948 Sofia has dominated with three wins and two draws. The most recent clash on Feb 27, 2026, ended 0-2 in favor of CSKA 1948 Sofia. Slavia has not beaten this opponent in any of the last five encounters, giving the visitors a clear psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Slavia Sofia sits 7th in the 1st League with 11 points from 9 matches (2 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 8 goals and conceded 6. CSKA 1948 Sofia is 4th with 19 points (6 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. The 8-point gap reflects the visitors' stronger campaign. However, Slavia's home struggles (0 wins) and CSKA 1948's away inconsistency (1 win in 4) suggest a balanced match.

Win Probability: Slavia Sofia or CSKA 1948 Sofia?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Slavia Sofia 18%, draw 42%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 40%. These figures are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 4.28, draw 2.13, away 2.21), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for recent form, head-to-head record, and home/away performance. The draw is the single most likely outcome, but CSKA 1948 Sofia holds a slight edge over Slavia if a winner emerges. The home side's inability to win at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov and the visitors' poor away form both point toward a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer average odds of 4.28 for a Slavia Sofia win, 2.13 for a draw, and 2.21 for a CSKA 1948 Sofia victory. These odds imply the away team is the favorite, but the draw is priced very closely. Based on the stats, our prediction leans toward a draw. CSKA 1948 Sofia has the quality to edge it, but their away record and Slavia's resilience at the back (only 6 goals conceded in 9 games) make a low-scoring draw the most probable result.