CSKA Sofia - Slavia Sofia prediction 31 October 2026

Our Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction for the 1st League match on Jul 20, 2026, at 16:15 at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov points to an away win for CSKA Sofia. CSKA has a 52% chance of victory, while Slavia Sofia has only a 12% chance, with the draw at 36%. Read on for detailed betting tips, odds, and head-to-head analysis.

Team Form

Slavia Sofia's recent form shows inconsistency. In their last five matches across all competitions, they recorded two wins and three losses (W, W, L, L, L). The victories came against Montana – a 7-2 friendly win on Jul 11 and a 2-0 league win on May 22. However, they suffered three consecutive league defeats to Lokomotiv Sofia (0-2), Dobrudzha 1919 (0-2), and Spartak Varna (1-2). Notably, all three losses saw Slavia concede at least two goals, highlighting defensive frailties.

CSKA Sofia's last five results are W, W, L, W, L. They won friendlies against Marek 1915 (3-0), Odra Opole (3-2), and Brinje-Grosuplje (2-1), but lost heavily to Polissya Zhytomyr (0-4) in a friendly and fell 0-1 to Ludogorets Razgrad in the league. The loss to Ludogorets, the reigning champions, is not a major concern, but the 4-0 defeat to Polissya raises questions about defensive organization. Overall, CSKA has shown more attacking threat, scoring in four of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors CSKA Sofia. In 31 meetings, CSKA has won 20 times, Slavia Sofia 5, with 6 draws. Looking at the last five encounters, CSKA won two (1-0 in Feb 2026 and 1-0 in Dec 2023 Cup), Slavia won one (1-0 in Feb 2025), and two ended in draws (2-2 in Aug 2025, 1-1 in Dec 2023). CSKA has kept clean sheets in three of those five matches, underlining their defensive solidity in this fixture.

League Table Positions

As the 2026/27 1st League season is just beginning, both teams are yet to play a match. Slavia Sofia sits 12th and CSKA Sofia 10th in the early standings, both with 0 points. No form guide from the current league campaign is available, so we rely on last season's ending form and pre-season friendlies. Historically, CSKA Sofia is a top-half side, while Slavia often battles in the lower half.

Win Probability: Slavia Sofia or CSKA Sofia?

Based on the odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Slavia Sofia win: 12%
• Draw: 36%
• CSKA Sofia win: 52%

The bookmakers' odds imply a strong away favorite, and we have adjusted slightly upward for CSKA given their historical dominance in this fixture. Slavia's home advantage at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov is factored in, but their poor end to last season and CSKA's overall quality tilt the scales. CSKA Sofia is the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for the 1X2 market are around 7.00 for a Slavia Sofia win, 2.40 for the draw, and 1.83 for a CSKA Sofia victory. These odds reflect CSKA's status as the expected winner. Considering all statistics, our Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction is an away win for CSKA Sofia. The value might be in backing CSKA to win, as the probability suggests a higher chance than the odds imply after removing the margin.