NK Tomislav Cerna - Slavija Pleternica prediction 18 September 2026

This NK Tomislav Cerna vs Slavija Pleternica prediction covers the Treca HNL match on Sep 18, 2026 at 14:30 in Croatia. NK Tomislav Cerna are the favourite with a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 37%, and Slavija Pleternica have a 21% chance.

Team Form

NK Tomislav Cerna's last five results are L, W, L, D, W. They beat NK Uljanik 4-0 and Radnicki Dalj 2-1, but lost 0-2 to Lokomotiva Zagreb and 2-3 to Marsonia 1909 Slavonski Brod. The sequence shows a team capable of scoring at home but also vulnerable to defeats.

• Sep 09: NK Tomislav Cerna 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb (Cup)
• Aug 26: NK Tomislav Cerna 4-0 NK Uljanik (Cup)
• May 12: NK Tomislav Cerna 2-3 Marsonia 1909 Slavonski Brod (Treca HNL)
• May 03: NK Tomislav Cerna 2-2 Slavija Pleternica (Treca HNL)
• Apr 04: NK Tomislav Cerna 2-1 Radnicki Dalj (Treca HNL)

Slavija Pleternica's last five results are D, W, D, D, L. They have been draw-heavy, with only one win and three draws in that run. Their 2-2 draw at NK Tomislav Cerna on May 03 and 1-1 draw at NK Cepin show a side that is not easy to beat away from home.

• May 03: NK Tomislav Cerna 2-2 Slavija Pleternica (Treca HNL)
• Mar 28: Vuteks Sloga Vukovar 0-3 Slavija Pleternica (Treca HNL)
• Nov 02: NK Cepin 1-1 Slavija Pleternica (Druga HNL)
• Nov 03 2024: NK Tomislav Cerna 2-2 Slavija Pleternica (Treca HNL)
• Mar 09 2024: Vuteks Sloga Vukovar 2-0 Slavija Pleternica (Treca HNL)

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is perfectly balanced. Both recorded Treca HNL meetings ended 2-2: one on May 03, 2026 and one on November 03, 2024. NK Tomislav Cerna have 0 wins, Slavija Pleternica have 0 wins, and there have been 2 draws.

• May 03, 2026: NK Tomislav Cerna 2-2 Slavija Pleternica
• Nov 03, 2024: NK Tomislav Cerna 2-2 Slavija Pleternica

League Table Positions

The supplied Treca HNL standings cover the top 12 positions, but neither NK Tomislav Cerna nor Slavija Pleternica appears in that table. As a result, a direct points gap or rank comparison between these teams cannot be taken from the available data. The listed leaders in that snapshot are NK Pazinka and Buje, both on 27 points.

Win Probability: NK Tomislav Cerna or Slavija Pleternica?

The win probability calculation starts from the 1X2 odds. The inverse of the odds gives roughly 47.6% for a home win, 42.0% for the draw and 23.8% for an away win before removing the bookmaker margin. After normalization, those become 42%, 37% and 21%. The two all-draw head-to-head results and Slavija Pleternica's draw-heavy away form support keeping the draw probability at 37%. Therefore, NK Tomislav Cerna has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 37%, and Slavija Pleternica has a 21% chance. NK Tomislav Cerna are the more likely winner, but the draw is a strong second outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for this Treca HNL fixture are NK Tomislav Cerna 2.10, draw 2.38 and Slavija Pleternica 4.20. Bookmakers see NK Tomislav Cerna as the favourite, with the draw next and Slavija Pleternica as the least likely winner. Based on the supplied stats, the most probable single outcome is a home win, while the draw is a realistic second option. Our final prediction is a narrow NK Tomislav Cerna win or a draw, with the home side having the better chance to take the points.