Slimbridge - Portland United prediction 7 October 2026

The Slimbridge vs Portland United prediction for the Southern Division One match on Oct 7, 2026 at 19:45 points to a tight contest. Based on our win probability analysis, Portland United has a 35% chance of winning, while Slimbridge holds a 30% chance, and the draw is at 35%.

Team Form

Slimbridge enter this match in poor form, with their last five results reading L, L, D, L, L. They lost 0-1 at home to Larkhall Athletic on Sep 30, were beaten 4-0 away by Worcester Raiders on Sep 15, drew 1-1 at Milton Keynes Irish in the FA Cup on Aug 25, suffered a 2-7 home defeat to Swindon Supermarine on Aug 19, and lost 0-3 at home to Forest Green Rovers in a friendly on Jul 4. Over those five matches, they scored just 2 goals and conceded 16.

Portland United have only one recent result in the data: a 3-3 draw away to Paulton Rovers on Sep 16. That performance showed they can score on the road, and they will look to exploit Slimbridge's leaky defence.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Slimbridge and Portland United. This will be the first head-to-head encounter, so no historical trends can be used for this prediction.

League Table Positions

Neither Slimbridge nor Portland United appear in the top 12 of the Southern Division One overall standings. Slimbridge are also absent from the top 8 home form table, while Portland United are missing from the top 8 away form table. This suggests both sides are in the lower half of the division, with Slimbridge struggling particularly at home.

Win Probability: Slimbridge or Portland United?

We calculated the win probability by starting with the bookmaker odds, then adjusting for recent form and league positions. The average implied probabilities from the odds gave Slimbridge a 41.2% chance, the draw 31.4%, and Portland United 27.5%. However, Slimbridge's dreadful run (no win in five, 2 goals scored, 16 conceded) forces a significant downgrade. Portland United's only recent outing was a high-scoring draw away, indicating they can compete. Therefore, we set the final probabilities at: Slimbridge win 30%, draw 35%, Portland United win 35%. Portland United are slightly more likely to win, but a draw is a very strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds show two sets of 1X2 prices. One bookmaker lists home win at 2.50, draw at 2.30, away win at 3.40. Another offers home win at 1.91, draw at 3.70, away win at 3.10. Bookmakers see Slimbridge as the favourite, but our analysis suggests the value lies with Portland United or the draw. Based on the stats, the most likely outcomes are a draw or an away win. Our final Slimbridge vs Portland United prediction is a double chance: Portland United or Draw.