Ujezd nad Lesy - Slovan Velvary prediction 3 October 2026

The Ujezd nad Lesy vs Slovan Velvary prediction for this 4 Liga match on Oct 3, 2026, at 09:15 points to a home win. Based on bookmaker odds and recent form, Ujezd nad Lesy has a 55% chance of winning, while Slovan Velvary sits at 24% and the draw at 21%.

Team Form

Ujezd nad Lesy come into this match with solid recent results: three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. Their most recent game was a 1-1 draw away at Usti nad Labem 2 on Sep 26. Before that, they beat Brandys nad Labem 2-1, lost 0-2 at home to Sokol Hostoun, won 2-1 at Tempo Prague, and edged Ostrov 3-2 at home. That’s 10 goals scored and 7 conceded in that five-match spell.

Slovan Velvary’s form is patchier. Their last five matches have produced two wins and three defeats. They lost 0-2 at home to Brandys nad Labem on Sep 26, were thrashed 5-1 by Sokol Hostoun on Sep 20, beat Tempo Prague 2-1 at home, lost 3-1 at Ostrov, and beat Slavia Karlovy Vary 2-1 at home. Away from home, they’ve lost three of their last five, conceding 11 goals in those five overall.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, in the Cup on Aug 9, 2023. Slovan Velvary won that encounter 1-0 away from home. With such a limited head-to-head history, that result offers little more than a psychological edge for the visitors.

League Table Positions

Neither Ujezd nad Lesy nor Slovan Velvary appear in the available top-12 standings for the 4 Liga. This suggests both are in the lower half of the table, making direct positional comparison impossible from the data at hand.

Win Probability: Ujezd nad Lesy or Slovan Velvary?

Ujezd nad Lesy has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 21%, and Slovan Velvary has a 24% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 1.67, draw 4.20, away 3.60) after removing the margin, then adjusted for team form. The home side’s stronger recent results and the inherent advantage of playing at home push their likelihood above the raw implied probability. Slovan Velvary’s inconsistent away form lowers their chances slightly. Overall, the stats clearly favour a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Ujezd nad Lesy win at 1.67, draw at 4.20, and Slovan Velvary win at 3.60. Bookmakers see the home team as the clear favourite. Based on the stats, form, and odds, the most likely outcome is a Ujezd nad Lesy win. A low-scoring affair is possible, but the data points to the hosts getting the job done.