Loznica - Smederevo 1924 prediction 12 October 2026

Our Loznica vs Smederevo 1924 prediction for this Prva Liga match on Oct 12, 2026, at 17:00 points toward an away victory. Smederevo 1924 has a 57% chance of winning, Loznica has a 20% chance, and the draw is at 23%.

Team Form

Loznica’s recent form shows inconsistency with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches (L, W, W, D, L). They suffered a 3-0 away defeat to Napredak Krusevac on Oct 5 but secured a 2-0 home win against Spartak Subotica on Sep 28. Before that, Loznica won 3-2 away at FK Jedinstvo UB, drew 2-2 at home with Javor Ivanjica, and lost 4-0 away to TSC Backa Topola.

Smederevo 1924 is in strong form, winning four of their last five matches (W, W, W, W, L). Their recent results include a 1-0 home victory over Vozdovac on Oct 5 and a 1-0 home win against Vrsac on Sep 26. They also posted an impressive 4-1 away win at Napredak Krusevac and a 2-1 home win over Spartak Subotica. Their only recent setback was a 2-1 away loss to FK Jedinstvo UB on Sep 12.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Smederevo 1924, who have won 5 of the 6 meetings. Loznica has won only once, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash on Nov 14, 2025, ended in a 1-0 home win for Loznica. However, Smederevo 1924 won the previous two encounters, including a 2-0 home win on Aug 16, 2025. Historically, Smederevo 1924 also won three Srpska Liga matches against Loznica in 2018 and 2019, scoring 3, 2, and 3 goals respectively.

League Table Positions

In the overall Prva Liga standings, Smederevo 1924 sits 4th with 24 points from 12 matches (7 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), while Loznica is 10th with 15 points from 12 matches (3 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). The gap between the two teams is 9 points. Smederevo 1924 has also scored 21 goals and conceded 13, showing better defensive solidity compared to Loznica’s 16 goals scored and 19 conceded.

Looking at home and away splits, Loznica’s home record is not available in the detailed home standings, but Smederevo 1924 ranks 7th in the away table with 8 points from 5 away matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), having scored 8 and conceded 5 on the road.

Win Probability: Loznica or Smederevo 1924?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we assess the following win probabilities:

• Loznica win: 20%
• Draw: 23%
• Smederevo 1924 win: 57%

Bookmakers’ average odds imply probabilities that we adjusted after accounting for Smederevo 1924’s superior position in the table, dominant H2H record (5 wins in 6 matches), and excellent recent form with four wins in five. Loznica’s inconsistent form and negative H2H history reduce their chances. Smederevo 1924 is the clear favorite to win this encounter.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available full-time 1X2 odds from bookmakers show variation: home odds range from 2.37 to 2.56, draw odds between 1.95 and 3.38, and away odds for Smederevo 1924 range from 2.60 to 3.30. The most common odds suggest a tight contest, but the market leans slightly toward the away side in some books. Based on the stats, Smederevo 1924 is the more likely winner, though a draw cannot be completely ruled out. Our match prediction is an away win for Smederevo 1924.