Smorgon - Osipovichy prediction 3 October 2026
Smorgon
Osipovichy
Shakhtyor SoligorskSmorgonSmorgonBumpromFC Minsk 2SmorgonSmorgonOsipovichyLidaSmorgonSmorgonNiva DolbiznoSmorgonSlutskDinamo Minsk ReservesSmorgonSmorgonFC OstrovetsKommunalnik SlonimSmorgonSmorgonFC BATE Borisov 2Uni MinskSmorgonMolodechno-DYUSH N4SmorgonSmena Vawkavysk (Volkovysk)SmorgonSmorgonGomel 2OsipovichyGomel 2OrshaOsipovichyOsipovichyVolna PinskSmorgonOsipovichyOsipovichyBumpromFC Minsk 2OsipovichyShakhtyor SoligorskOsipovichyOsipovichyLidaNiva DolbiznoOsipovichySlutskOsipovichyOsipovichyDinamo Minsk ReservesFC OstrovetsOsipovichyKommunalnik SlonimOsipovichyOsipovichyFC BATE Borisov 2OsipovichyDnepr MogilevSmorgonOsipovichyOsipovichySmorgonOsipovichySmorgonSmorgonOsipovichy| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slutsk | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:28 | +32 | 66 |
| 2 |  Lida | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 54:43 | +11 | 63 |
| 3 |  Niva Dolbizno | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 77:36 | +41 | 62 |
| 4 |  Energetik-BGU Minsk | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65:36 | +29 | 59 |
| 5 |  Kommunalnik Slonim | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 53:35 | +18 | 53 |
| 6 |  Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 60:46 | +14 | 47 |
| 7 |  Molodechno-DYUSH N4 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 |  Bumprom | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 54:48 | +6 | 41 |
| 9 |  Ostrovets FC | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Smorgon | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |  Volna Pinsk | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 45:56 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 |  Dinamo Minsk Reserves | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:41 | +1 | 35 |
| 13 |  FC Minsk 2 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 42:58 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 |  Uni Minsk | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 |  Orsha | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | -21 | 30 |
| 16 |  Gomel 2 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 42:62 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Osipovichy | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 34:74 | -40 | 23 |
| 18 |  FC BATE Borisov 2 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 37:66 | -29 | 22 |
Smorgon vs Osipovichy Prediction (Oct 3, 2026)
Smorgon vs Osipovichy prediction for the 1 Liga clash on Oct 3, 2026, points to a home win. Based on the odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Smorgon has a 50% chance of winning, while Osipovichy sits at just 22%. The match kicks off at 14:00 local time in Belarus.
Team Form
Smorgon's last five matches show mixed results: L, W, D, L, L. They managed a 1-0 home win over Niva Dolbizno and a 1-1 draw with Slutsk, but suffered defeats to Lida (1-2), Dinamo Minsk Reserves (2-3), and FC Ostrovets (0-1). At home, they've been inconsistent, with only one win in their last three.
Osipovichy are struggling, with a form line of D, D, L, L, L. They drew 3-3 at home to Bumprom and 1-1 away to FC Minsk 2, but lost to Shakhtyor Soligorsk (1-2), Lida (1-2), and suffered a heavy 0-6 defeat at Niva Dolbizno. They haven't won in five outings and look vulnerable on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
Smorgon have dominated this fixture, winning all three previous meetings. The most recent clash on Jun 6, 2026, ended 5-0 to Smorgon away from home. Earlier encounters include a 4-0 away win in 2022 and a 1-0 home victory. Osipovichy have yet to score against Smorgon in their last two H2H matches.
League Table Positions
Smorgon are 12th in the 1 Liga standings with 30 points from 26 matches (8 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses). They have scored 31 goals and conceded 36. Osipovichy are not in the top 12, indicating they are lower in the table and likely fighting relegation. The gap in league positions further underlines the home side's advantage.
Win Probability: Smorgon or Osipovichy?
After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are: Smorgon 50%, draw 28%, Osipovichy 22%. The odds implied a 44% home win chance, but Smorgon's perfect H2H record and Osipovichy's poor form (no wins in five) push the probability higher. Home advantage also plays a key role. Smorgon are clearly the more likely winners.
Odds & Match Prediction
The pre-match 1X2 odds are: Smorgon 2.00, draw 2.55, Osipovichy 4.20. Bookmakers see Smorgon as the strong favorite. Based on the stats, our prediction is a home win for Smorgon. The H2H dominance and Osipovichy's defensive frailties (conceded 6 in one recent away game) make a Smorgon victory the most probable outcome.
Smorgon vs Osipovichy โ FAQ
- Who will win Smorgon vs Osipovichy?
- Smorgon are the favorites to win. Our model gives them a 50% chance, while a draw has a 28% probability and Osipovichy a 22% chance. This is based on odds, head-to-head record (3-0 to Smorgon), and recent form.
- What is the win probability for Smorgon?
- Smorgon have a 50% win probability. This figure is derived from the betting odds (2.00 for a home win) adjusted for their perfect H2H record and Osipovichy's five-match winless run.
- When is the Smorgon vs Osipovichy match?
- The match is on Oct 3, 2026, at 14:00 local time (Belarus). It is a 1 Liga fixture, the second tier of Belarusian football.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: Smorgon win at 2.00, draw at 2.55, and Osipovichy win at 4.20. These odds reflect Smorgon's status as the clear favorite.