Sogndal - Odds BK prediction 14 October 2026

The Sogndal vs Odds BK prediction for their 1 Division clash on Oct 14 at 18:00 suggests an away win is the most likely outcome, with Odds BK holding a 43% win probability. Played at Fosshaugane Campus, this fixture pits an out-of-form Sogndal against a high-flying Odds BK side.

Team Form

Sogndal come into this match in poor form, with their last five results being L, L, D, D, L. They have lost three and drawn two of these matches, struggling for consistency. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 defeat away at Asane.

Odds BK, by contrast, are in excellent form with a W, W, W, W, L record over their last five. They have won four of those five, including a 2-1 home win against Bryne in their latest match. Their only recent blip was a narrow 2-1 loss at Raufoss.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings between these sides in the 1 Division, Sogndal have won 2, Odds BK have won 1, with no draws. The most recent encounter, on Apr 6, saw Odds BK secure a dominant 4-0 home win. However, Sogndal won the previous two, including a 4-1 away victory in November 2025 and a 3-2 home win in April 2025.

League Table Positions

Odds BK are 5th in the 1 Division overall standings with 42 points from 25 matches (12 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses). Sogndal are not listed in the top 12 overall, indicating a much lower league position and a significant gap between the sides. Odds BK have a strong away record, ranked 5th on the road with 18 points from 12 away games.

Win Probability: Sogndal or Odds BK?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Sogndal win: 32%
• Draw: 25%
• Odds BK win: 43%

The probabilities are derived from the inverse of best available odds (home 3.17, draw 4.33, away 2.10) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Odds BK's superior form (four wins in five vs zero wins in five for Sogndal), higher league position (5th vs outside top 12), and strong away performances. Despite Sogndal's head-to-head advantage at home, their current slump tilts the balance heavily towards Odds BK. Odds BK have a clear edge and are more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive fixture. The best available odds from the data are: Sogndal win at 3.17, draw at 4.33, and Odds BK win at 2.10. Based on the stats, the value may lie with an Odds BK victory. Our Sogndal vs Odds BK betting tips point towards an away win, given the stark contrast in form and league standing. The match outcome prediction is a win for Odds BK.