Sogndal - Raufoss prediction 21 October 2026
Sogndal
RaufossSogndal
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stromsgodset | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 76:33 | +43 | 60 |
| 2 |  Kongsvinger | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 81:42 | +39 | 59 |
| 3 |  Haugesund | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 78:45 | +33 | 59 |
| 4 |  Stabaek | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 64:34 | +30 | 52 |
| 5 |  Odds BK | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 54:41 | +13 | 45 |
| 6 |  Bryne | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 |  Ranheim | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 71:68 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |  Hodd | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 47:53 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |  Egersund | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42:53 | -11 | 34 |
| 10 |  Strommen | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 48:59 | -11 | 33 |
| 11 |  Lyn | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 41:57 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 |  Moss | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 40:56 | -16 | 29 |
| 13 | Sogndal | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44:60 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 |  Sandnes Ulf | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 37:54 | -17 | 26 |
| 15 |  Asane | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 37:61 | -24 | 23 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 31:74 | -43 | 20 |
Sogndal vs Raufoss Prediction (Oct 21)
The Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction for October 21, 2026, points to a home advantage in this Norway 1 Division clash at Fosshaugane Campus. Based on odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Sogndal enters as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while Raufoss faces an uphill battle at 20%.
Team Form
Sogndal's last five matches have produced two draws and three losses (D, L, L, L, D), indicating a struggle for consistency. Their most recent outing was a 3-3 away draw at Egersund on October 18. Raufoss has been in even worse shape, with one draw and four defeats (L, D, L, L, L), including a heavy 5-1 loss at Hodd on the same date. Neither side carries momentum, but Sogndal's two draws suggest slightly better resilience.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Sogndal dominates this fixture with 9 wins to Raufoss's 5, alongside 3 draws. The last five meetings show a mixed picture: Raufoss won 3-1 at home in June 2026, but Sogndal claimed a 3-1 away victory in October 2025 and a 2-1 home win in May 2023. The most recent clash at Fosshaugane Campus ended 2-2 in May 2025. Overall, Sogndal has the upper hand, especially at home.
League Table Positions
The provided 1 Division standings (top 12) do not include Sogndal or Raufoss, placing them in the lower part of the table. While exact positions are unavailable, this suggests both teams are likely battling to climb away from the bottom. Sogndal's home form will be critical to gain points.
Win Probability: Sogndal or Raufoss?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are: Sogndal 55%, draw 25%, Raufoss 20%. The odds heavily favor the home side, and Sogndal's historical edge plus home advantage outweigh both teams' poor recent results. Raufoss's away record and current losing streak make an upset unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Average bookmaker odds across six sources show Sogndal at 1.62, the draw at 3.24, and Raufoss at 4.92. These odds imply a strong home favorite. Our Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction is a home win, but given both teams' low scoring and defensive issues, a low-scoring affair or a draw cannot be ruled out. Based on the stats, Sogndal is the more probable winner.
Sogndal vs Raufoss โ FAQ
- Who will win Sogndal vs Raufoss?
- Sogndal is the favorite with a 55% win probability, compared to a 25% chance for a draw and 20% for Raufoss. Home advantage and a superior head-to-head record give Sogndal the edge.
- What is the win probability for Sogndal?
- Sogndal has a 55% chance to win, based on normalized bookmaker odds and adjusted for recent form and H2H. This makes them the clear favorite despite a poor run of results.
- When is the Sogndal vs Raufoss match?
- The match kicks off on October 21, 2026, at 18:00 local time (GMT+1) at Fosshaugane Campus in Sogndal. It is a Norway 1 Division fixture.
- What are the odds for Sogndal vs Raufoss?
- Average odds from six bookmakers are: Sogndal 1.62, draw 3.24, Raufoss 4.92. These odds reflect a strong home favorite and a low probability of an away win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sogndal and Raufoss?
- In 17 previous meetings, Sogndal has won 9, Raufoss 5, with 3 draws. The last five encounters include two Sogndal wins, two Raufoss wins, and one draw.