Jablonec B - Sokol Brozany prediction 11 October 2026

The Jablonec B vs Sokol Brozany prediction for this 3 Liga clash on Oct 11, 2026, at 09:15 points towards a home win. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Jablonec B enters the match as the favorite with a calculated win probability of 52%, while Sokol Brozany has a 23% chance of victory and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Jablonec B has shown strong form recently, winning three of their last five matches (W, L, W, D, W). Their most recent outing was an impressive 3-1 away victory against Banik Most-Sous on Oct 3. At home, they have been solid, securing a 2-0 win over Slovan Liberec B and a 2-2 draw against Mlada Boleslav B in their last two fixtures at their own ground.

Sokol Brozany's form has been inconsistent, with a record of D, L, D, L, W over their last five. They are coming off a 0-0 home draw against SK Zapy on Oct 4. Away from home, they suffered a 4-2 defeat at Velke Hamry but did manage a 3-1 win at Horni Redice earlier in September.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Sokol Brozany, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Jablonec B. The most recent encounter on May 6, 2026, saw Sokol Brozany secure a 1-0 home victory. However, the fixture before that was a stunning 7-1 away win for Sokol Brozany at Jablonec B. The two matches prior ended in 2-2 draws, showing that goals are often a feature when these sides meet.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Czech Republic's 3 Liga. While exact current league table positions and points are not provided in the available data, the recent form suggests Jablonec B may hold a slight upper hand in momentum. Their three wins in five games indicate a team pushing towards the top half, whereas Sokol Brozany's two losses and two draws in the same period suggest a mid-table struggle.

Win Probability: Jablonec B or Sokol Brozany?

After a detailed analysis, the win probabilities for this match are calculated as follows: Jablonec B has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Sokol Brozany has a 23% chance. This calculation is based primarily on the average bookmaker odds, which heavily favor Jablonec B (average home win odds around 1.54). The inverse of these odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, gives Jablonec B a strong base probability. This is slightly adjusted upwards due to their superior recent form (3 wins in 5 vs 1 win in 5) and home advantage, despite Sokol Brozany's dominant head-to-head record. The conclusion is that Jablonec B is the more likely winner, but the head-to-head history introduces a note of caution.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Jablonec B as the clear favorite. The available pre-match odds show a home win priced as low as 1.52 and as high as 1.57. The draw is trading around 2.45 to 4.45, while an away win for Sokol Brozany is a long shot at 4.50 to 5.55. Based on the stats, the value might lie in the home win, but the head-to-head record suggests this is no foregone conclusion. Our prediction is a narrow victory for Jablonec B, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given the history between the two teams.