Solihull Moors - Newcastle United U21 prediction 6 October 2026

Our Solihull Moors vs Newcastle United U21 prediction for the National League Cup match on October 6, 2026, gives Solihull Moors a 45% win probability. The game kicks off at 19:00 local time at Solihull Moors' home ground. Based on the latest odds and team form, the home side are slight favorites to win this encounter.

Team Form

Solihull Moors have won two of their last five matches (W2 L3). Their recent results: a 0-2 home loss to Halifax Town (Oct 3), a 4-2 away win at Woking (Sep 29), a 0-3 home defeat to Boreham Wood (Sep 26), a 1-4 away loss at Yeovil Town (Sep 18), and a 1-0 home victory over Barrow (Sep 15). In these five games, they scored 6 goals and conceded 11, keeping just one clean sheet. Their home form has been inconsistent: a win over Barrow but heavy defeats to Halifax and Boreham Wood. The 4-2 win at Woking showed their attacking potential, but defensive frailties remain a concern. The 1-0 win over Barrow demonstrated that they can keep a clean sheet at home, but they have failed to do so in their other two recent home games.

Newcastle United U21 have only one win in their last five (W1 L4). They lost 1-2 at Bradford City (Sep 22), 0-2 at Leeds U21 (Sep 19), won 3-1 at York City (Sep 15), lost 1-2 at Boreham Wood (Sep 8), and suffered a 0-4 home defeat to Fulham U21 (Aug 31). They have scored 5 goals and conceded 11 in this period. Their away record is particularly poor, with three losses in four road games, including a defeat to Boreham Wood in this same competition. The 3-1 win at York City is their only bright spot in recent weeks. Notably, Newcastle United U21's 1-2 loss at Boreham Wood came in the National League Cup, which could be a relevant indicator.

Both teams have conceded 11 goals in their last five matches, highlighting defensive issues on both sides. Solihull Moors have a slight edge in attack, scoring 6 goals compared to Newcastle U21's 5.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Solihull Moors and Newcastle United U21. This will be the first meeting between the two sides.

Win Probability: Solihull Moors or Newcastle United U21?

We calculated the win probabilities by first analyzing the bookmakers' odds. Two sets of odds were available: 2.15 (home), 3.50 (draw), 2.75 (away) and 2.08, 2.52, 3.05. The average implied probabilities after removing the margin were 40.8% for a Solihull Moors win, 29.3% for a draw, and 29.9% for a Newcastle United U21 win. We then adjusted for recent form: Solihull Moors have two wins in five compared to Newcastle U21's one, and they enjoy home advantage. This shifted the probabilities to 45% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an away win. Therefore, Solihull Moors are the more likely winners, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this National League Cup fixture are: Solihull Moors win at 2.08–2.15, a draw at 2.52–3.50, and a Newcastle United U21 win at 2.75–3.05. These odds reflect the bookmakers' view that the home side are favorites.

Our match prediction: based on the stats, Solihull Moors should have enough to secure a narrow victory. However, with both teams struggling for consistency and showing defensive vulnerabilities, a low-scoring affair could be on the cards. A home win is the most likely outcome, but a draw cannot be ruled out.