Samoa Women - Solomon Islands Women prediction 5 March 2026

The Solomon Islands Women vs Samoa Women prediction looks at the World Cup Qualification Women match on Mar 05, 2026 at 06:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Samoa Women enter as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability. Solomon Islands Women have a 30% chance of winning at home, while the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Solomon Islands Women come into this fixture on the back of two consecutive defeats. They lost 2-1 away to Samoa Women in their most recent outing, and were beaten 8-0 by New Zealand Women just days earlier. Both matches exposed defensive frailties, with eight goals conceded in those two games.

Samoa Women's recent record shows one win and one loss. They beat Solomon Islands Women 2-1 at home, but suffered a heavy 8-0 defeat to New Zealand Women away. That victory over Solomon Islands Women will give them a psychological edge ahead of this return meeting.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met only once before. Samoa Women won that encounter 2-1 at home, in the same World Cup Qualification Women competition. Solomon Islands Women have zero wins, zero draws, and one loss in the head-to-head record, so they will be looking to even the score on home soil.

Win Probability: Solomon Islands Women or Samoa Women?

We've calculated the win probabilities based on the available form and H2H data. Samoa Women have a 45% chance of winning the match, Solomon Islands Women are given a 30% probability, and the draw has a 25% chance. The calculation adjusts the early head-to-head outcome (away win for Samoa) with a typical home advantage bonus, though Solomon Islands Women's recent heavy defeats lower their overall resilience score. Samoa Women enter as the likelier winner, but the narrow H2H scoreline suggests a competitive affair.

Odds & Match Prediction

No match odds are offered in the source data for this fixture. However, based solely on the team stats, bookmakers would likely price Samoa Women as the favorite, reflecting their superior head-to-head result and slightly better recent form. The predicted full-time result leans toward an away win, but a home upset cannot be ruled out. Our final Solomon Islands Women vs Samoa Women prediction is Samoa Women to win, with a 45% probability.