Somaspor - Alanya Kestelspor prediction 7 October 2026

The Somaspor vs Alanya Kestelspor prediction for October 7, 2026, points to a clear favorite in this Cup clash. Based on the latest odds and team form, Somaspor has a 76% chance of winning, the draw is at 14%, and Alanya Kestelspor has a 10% chance.

Team Form

Somaspor's recent form shows inconsistency. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses (W, L, D, L, D). Their most recent result was a 1-0 away victory against Ankaraspor on September 26. Before that, they suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Mus Spor and a high-scoring 3-3 draw with 68 Aksaray Belediyespor.

Alanya Kestelspor comes into this match with slightly better momentum. Their last five results are two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, L, D, W, W). They are unbeaten in their last three matches, including a 0-0 draw at Altay Izmir on October 3 and back-to-back wins in April against Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor and Utas Usakspor.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Somaspor and Alanya Kestelspor. The record stands at 0 wins for Somaspor, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Alanya Kestelspor. This will be the first meeting between the two sides.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in different Turkish leagues. Somaspor plays in the 2 Lig, while Alanya Kestelspor competes in the 3 Lig. The tier difference suggests Somaspor faces a higher level of competition regularly, which is a factor in their favor for this Cup fixture.

Win Probability: Somaspor or Alanya Kestelspor?

Somaspor has a 76% chance of winning, the draw is at 14%, and Alanya Kestelspor has a 10% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and adjusted for team form and the home advantage. The odds heavily favor Somaspor, with the lowest home price at 1.17. Alanya Kestelspor's recent unbeaten run adds some resilience, but the gap in league tiers and Somaspor's home status make them the overwhelming favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Somaspor as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.17, while a draw is priced at 7.00, and an away win for Alanya Kestelspor is as high as 11.00. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Somaspor victory. The betting tips suggest backing the home team, though the odds offer little value. A low-scoring match is possible given the odds structure and the visitors' recent defensive displays on the road.