Sonderjyske - Randers FC prediction 20 September 2026

Our Sonderjyske vs Randers FC prediction covers the Superliga match on Sep 20 at Haderslev Fodboldstadion, kicking off at 12:00 UTC. After analyzing the latest odds, form streaks, and head-to-head data, Randers FC emerges as the favorite with a 40% chance of winning, while the draw holds a 35% probability and Sonderjyske a 25% chance.

Team Form

Sonderjyske are struggling, sitting bottom of the league with just two points. Their last five matches across all competitions read D, L, W, L, L. In the Superliga, they have managed only a 1-1 draw at Lyngby, heavy home defeats to AC Horsens (2-5) and FC Nordsjaelland (0-3), and a loss at Copenhagen (1-3). The only win came in the Cup at Thisted FC (2-0).

Randers FC show more consistency, with a recent record of L, W, W, L, W. In the league, they beat Brondby 3-0 away and AGF Aarhus 2-1 at home, but lost to Midtjylland (0-1) and Odense BK (1-2). Their Cup form is strong, winning 4-0 at ASA Aarhus. Despite some slip-ups, Randers FC sit 7th with 10 points and have shown the ability to take points on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, these teams have met 35 times with Sonderjyske winning 16, Randers FC 13, and 6 draws. However, recent encounters paint a different picture. In the last five meetings, Randers FC have won three, Sonderjyske one, and there was one draw. Looking at Superliga matches alone, Randers FC are unbeaten in the last three: a 0-0 draw in October 2025 and two away wins (1-0 in September 2025, 4-1 in November 2024). The most recent clash was a friendly in June 2026, where Sonderjyske won 4-2, but that result holds less weight in the prediction.

League Table Positions

Sonderjyske occupy 12th place with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats from 8 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19 goals. Their home form is yet to produce a victory. Randers FC are 7th, having won 3, drawn 1, and lost 4, with a goal difference of -1. Away from home, they have collected 3 points from 3 games (1 win, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 2. The gap in the standings, combined with Sonderjyske’s poor defensive record, strongly favors the visitors.

Win Probability: Sonderjyske or Randers FC?

Based on the available data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Sonderjyske win – 25%, Draw – 35%, Randers FC win – 40%. The odds imply a high chance of a draw, but Randers FC’s superior league position, recent head-to-head dominance in competitive fixtures, and Sonderjyske’s winless season tilt the balance toward an away win. The draw remains a serious possibility, especially given the 0-0 in the last league meeting, but the most likely single outcome is a Randers FC victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are pricing this match very evenly. A Sonderjyske win is available at 2.92, the draw at 2.22, and a Randers FC win at 2.58. These figures highlight the competitive nature expected, with the draw seen as the likeliest result by the market. However, taking into account the long-term form and table context, our Sonderjyske vs Randers FC prediction leans towards an away win. "Randers FC to win" offers value relative to our 40% probability estimate. The draw is a sensible hedging option for bettors who rate home advantage, but the stats point towards Randers FC leaving Haderslev Fodboldstadion with all three points.