Lam Dong - Song Lam Nghe An prediction 6 October 2026

The Lam Dong vs Song Lam Nghe An prediction for October 6, 2026, in the Vietnam Cup points to an away victory. Song Lam Nghe An enters the match as the clear favorite with a 50% win probability, while Lam Dong has just a 15% chance of causing an upset. The draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Lam Dong’s recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L-D-L-W-L). All of these games were in V-League 2, the second tier of Vietnamese football. Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat to Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC on Sep 12.

Song Lam Nghe An, competing in the top-flight V-League, has shown stronger form with three wins and two losses in their last five (W-W-L-L-W). They are coming off an impressive 4-1 away win against Ha Noi T&T on Sep 12, demonstrating their attacking quality on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Lam Dong and Song Lam Nghe An. The two sides have never met before, making this Cup tie their first-ever encounter.

League Table Positions

While exact league table positions are not available, the division gap is telling. Lam Dong plays in V-League 2, whereas Song Lam Nghe An competes in the V-League. This tier difference is a strong indicator of the quality gap between the squads.

Win Probability: Lam Dong or Song Lam Nghe An?

Based on the available data—odds, team form, division level, and home advantage—we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Lam Dong win: 15%
• Draw: 35%
• Song Lam Nghe An win: 50%

The probabilities are derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 4.75, draw 2.15, away 2.05) after removing the margin, then adjusted for form and the significant league gap. Song Lam Nghe An’s superior recent results and higher division status justify the increased away win likelihood. Lam Dong’s home advantage is not enough to bridge the class difference.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Song Lam Nghe An as the favorite. The best available odds in the data are: Lam Dong win at 4.75, draw at 2.15, and Song Lam Nghe An win at 2.05. These odds imply a tight match but with a clear away lean.

Lam Dong vs Song Lam Nghe An prediction: Based on the stats, Song Lam Nghe An is the more likely winner. The away side’s V-League experience and stronger recent form give them a decisive edge. A low-scoring away victory is the most probable outcome.