Chiangmai United - Songkhla United prediction 17 October 2026

Chiangmai United vs Songkhla United prediction for the Thailand Division 2 clash on October 17, 2026. Based on recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings, Chiangmai United hold a 55% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 25% and Songkhla United have a 20% win probability. The match kicks off at 12:00 at the 700th Anniversary Stadium in Chiang Mai.

Team Form

Chiangmai United's last five matches show three wins and two defeats:

• Lost 1-3 to Nong Bua Pitchaya (away) – Oct 14
• Won 2-0 vs Kasetsart University (home) – Oct 10
• Lost 0-1 to Muang Thong United (away) – Sep 19
• Won 3-1 vs KhonKaen United (home) – Sep 15
• Won 3-1 vs Chattrakan City FC (home, League Cup) – Sep 6

At home, they have won two of their last three, scoring eight goals and conceding just two in those three fixtures. Their attack has looked potent, but an away loss three days ago raises slight concerns.

Songkhla United's recent away form is poor, with only one victory in their last five:

• Lost 2-3 to Pattaya Dolphins United (away) – Oct 14
• Lost 0-2 to Chainat FC (away) – Oct 11
• Drew 1-1 vs Muang Loei United (home) – Sep 20
• Won 3-0 vs BEC Police Tero Sasana (away) – Sep 15
• Lost 1-3 to Satun United (home) – Sep 12

They have conceded eight goals in three away defeats, suggesting defensive vulnerability on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The two sides have met twice in Division 2, with each winning one match:

• Jan 17, 2026: Songkhla United 2-1 Chiangmai United
• Aug 27, 2025: Chiangmai United 2-1 Songkhla United

Both results came on home soil, underlining the importance of home advantage. With one win apiece and no draws, the overall head-to-head is perfectly balanced.

League Table Positions

Chiangmai United sit 5th in the overall Division 2 standings with 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), scoring 7 and conceding 4. At home, they are 4th with 6 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 loss, 5 goals for, 2 against).

Songkhla United are not inside the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a lower league position. In the away standings, they rank 5th with 4 points from 3 away matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, 4 goals for, 3 against). The gap in league positions and home form clearly favors Chiangmai United.

Win Probability: Chiangmai United or Songkhla United?

Chiangmai United have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Songkhla United holds a 20% win probability. This calculation weighs Chiangmai United's superior league position, solid home record (2 wins in 3), and more consistent recent form against Songkhla United's poor run of results and defensive leaks. The head-to-head shows home teams have always won, strengthening the case for a home victory. No bookmaker odds were available in the data, so these percentages are based entirely on team stats and form trends.

Match Prediction

Based on the stats, Chiangmai United are the clear favorites. The best betting tip is to back a home win. Songkhla United have managed an away win in this fixture before, but their current away struggles make that a low-probability outcome. A draw is a possible spoiler given Songkhla United's one away draw and Chiangmai United's occasional home slip, but the most likely result remains a Chiangmai United victory.