Spartak Pleven - Ludogorets Razgrad II prediction 21 September 2026

Our Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets Razgrad II prediction for the B PFG clash on Sep 21, 2026, at 17:00 gives Spartak Pleven a 40% win probability. The bookmakers’ odds point to a tight contest, but recent head-to-head results at this stadium and home advantage tip the scales slightly in favour of the hosts. Below you will find team form, H2H record, table positions, win probability analysis, odds and the final match prediction.

Team Form

Spartak Pleven come into this match in poor shape, with four defeats in their last five outings (L, W, L, L, L). The single victory was a narrow 3–2 home win over Hebar Pazardzhik on Sep 7. Heavy away losses against Chernomorets Burgas (0–3), CSKA Sofia 2 (1–5) and Beroe Stara Zagora (0–3), plus a 0–2 home reverse to Vihren Sandanski, underline serious defensive problems.

Ludogorets Razgrad II, meanwhile, have drawn three of their last five matches (D, W, L, D, D). A 3–0 away win at Pirin Blagoevgrad stands out, but they failed to beat Fratria (1–1), Hebar Pazardzhik (1–1) and CSKA Sofia 2 (1–1) and lost 0–1 at Chernomorets Burgas. Their form is steadier than that of the hosts, though victories remain infrequent.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 10 meetings, Spartak Pleven have won 3, drawn 1 and Ludogorets Razgrad II have won 6. However, the venue plays a huge role. Spartak Pleven are unbeaten in their last three home games against this opponent: a 2–0 win in November 2025, another 2–0 in March 2025 and a 1–1 draw in March 2024. The most recent head-to-head, played at Ludogorets Razgrad II’s ground in May 2026, ended 3–1 to the home side.

League Table Positions

Ludogorets Razgrad II sit 12th in the B PFG overall standings with 12 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, goals 9–9). On the road they have collected 7 points from 5 away games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats). Spartak Pleven’s data is not included in the top‑12 table supplied, suggesting they occupy a position lower in the table and are likely battling at the wrong end of the division.

Win Probability: Spartak Pleven or Ludogorets Razgrad II?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the average match odds (home 2.39, draw 2.34, away 3.31), the raw implied probabilities stand at 36.5% for a Spartak Pleven win, 37.2% for the draw and 26.3% for a Ludogorets Razgrad II win. We adjust these numbers using the teams’ recent form, the powerful H2H home record and the league table context. Spartak Pleven’s two recent home clean‑sheet wins in this fixture and Ludogorets Razgrad II’s inconsistent away results push the home win probability higher. Spartak Pleven has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Ludogorets Razgrad II has a 25% chance. The hosts are the more likely winner, although a draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre‑match odds (averaged from five bookmakers) are:

• Spartak Pleven win – 2.39
• Draw – 2.34
• Ludogorets Razgrad II win – 3.31

Bookmakers see a very open contest, with the draw priced lowest and the away win at the longest odds. Based on the stats, the head-to-head pattern at this stadium and the adjusted win probabilities, our Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets Razgrad II prediction is a home win. The form gap is narrow, so a draw cannot be ruled out, but the value and the historical edge point to Spartak Pleven.