Loznica - Spartak Subotica prediction 28 September 2026

Loznica vs Spartak Subotica prediction for the Prva Liga fixture on September 28, 2026, at 19:00 local time. Based on form, league standings, and betting odds, the draw holds the highest probability for this matchup at 45%. Loznica have a 25% chance of winning, while Spartak Subotica stand at 30%.

Team Form

Loznica's recent results show inconsistency: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings (W-D-L-D-W). Their most recent fixture was an away 3-2 victory against FK Jedinstvo UB on September 21. At home, however, Loznica are yet to claim a win this season—recording four draws and one defeat in five Prva Liga matches. The latest home games ended in a 2-2 draw with Javor Ivanjica and a 1-1 stalemate against Teleoptik.

Spartak Subotica have registered two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five competitive matches (L-L-W-W-D). They suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Vozdovac on September 21 and a 1-2 away loss to Smederevo 1924 before that. Away from home, Spartak have managed one win, two draws, and one loss in their four league road trips this term—drawing 1-1 at FK Jedinstvo UB in their last away appearance.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no recorded previous meetings between Loznica and Spartak Subotica. The head-to-head record stands at zero home wins, zero draws, and zero away wins, making this the first direct clash between the two sides in available data.

League Table Positions

In the Prva Liga standings, Spartak Subotica sit 6th with 15 points from 10 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses; goals 18-15). Loznica occupy 11th place with 12 points (2 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses; goals 14-16). Loznica's home form has been a major concern: they have collected just 4 points out of a possible 15 at their own ground (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). Spartak's away record reads 1 win, 2 draws, 1 defeat from 4 games, yielding 5 points.

Win Probability: Loznica or Spartak Subotica?

Calculated outcome probabilities based on odds, form, and home/away performance:

• Loznica win — 25%
• Draw — 45%
• Spartak Subotica win — 30%

Bookmakers’ odds imply a very similar distribution: the draw is priced as low as 2.00, indicating a probability above 40%. Loznica have failed to win any of their five home league matches, which heavily reduces their chances despite their recent away win. Spartak Subotica are slightly higher in the table and possess a marginally better away record, but their road form is still modest. The high draw probability is driven by Loznica's four home stalemates and the overall tightness of this contest. Our analysis points to the draw being the single most likely match outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Current 1X2 betting odds (selected bookmakers):

• Home win (Loznica): 2.50–2.60
• Draw: 2.00–2.15
• Away win (Spartak Subotica): 2.80–3.15

Bookmakers clearly view the draw as the favorite, with the shortest prices. Based on the stats, our match prediction aligns with that view: a stalemate is the most probable result. Loznica vs Spartak Subotica betting tips would lean towards a draw or under 2.5 goals, given both teams' recent low-scoring patterns at home and away respectively.