CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna prediction 30 October 2026

The CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna prediction is for a 1st League fixture scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 15:00. Based on available odds and form data, CSKA 1948 Sofia enters as the strong favorite with a win probability of around 65%, while Spartak Varna faces an uphill battle away from home.

Team Form

CSKA 1948 Sofia comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five matches in all competitions. Their most recent results include a 4-0 home victory against Botev Plovdiv, a 4-0 away cup win at Neftochimic Burgas, and a 2-1 home success over Dunav Ruse. The lone setback was a narrow 2-3 home loss to CSKA Sofia.

Spartak Varna's recent form is more inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings. They suffered a 2-0 away defeat at Dunav Ruse in their latest league match and a 0-1 home loss to Lokomotiv Sofia. Positives included a 4-2 cup win at Etar Veliko Tarnovo and a 1-0 away league victory at Botev Vratsa.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history heavily favors CSKA 1948 Sofia. In seven previous meetings across all competitions, CSKA 1948 Sofia has recorded three wins and four draws, remaining unbeaten against Spartak Varna. The most recent clash, on July 17, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw when Spartak Varna hosted. CSKA 1948 Sofia won 2-1 in the away fixture earlier that year on March 14, 2026.

League Table Positions

In the 1st League standings, CSKA 1948 Sofia sits in 4th place overall with 25 points from 12 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their home record is formidable, ranking 1st in the home standings with 18 points from 7 games (6 wins, 1 loss) and scoring 18 goals. Spartak Varna occupies 7th place with 13 points from 12 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Their away form places them 6th in the away standings with 7 points from 6 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses).

Win Probability: CSKA 1948 Sofia or Spartak Varna?

The calculated win probabilities for this match are: CSKA 1948 Sofia has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Spartak Varna has a 10% chance. These percentages are derived from the provided odds as a base, then adjusted for team form and home/away strength. CSKA 1948 Sofia's dominant home record (top of the home standings) and unbeaten head-to-head streak against Spartak Varna significantly increase their likelihood. Spartak Varna's inconsistent away performances and recent league defeat contribute to their lower probability. Based on the stats, CSKA 1948 Sofia is clearly the more probable winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see CSKA 1948 Sofia as the clear favorite, offering odds around 1.40 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.45, with an away win for Spartak Varna at 5.70 to 6.00. These odds reflect the home side's superior league ranking, excellent form, and strong head-to-head advantage. The predicted outcome leans heavily towards a CSKA 1948 Sofia victory, with a low-scoring affair possible given Spartak Varna's defensive vulnerabilities on the road.