Austria Wien II - SPG Hogo Wels prediction 16 October 2026
Austria Wien II
SPG Hogo WelsAustria Wien II
Sturm Graz IIAustria Wien IISPG Hogo WelsKSV 1919Austria Wien IIAustria Wien IIRapid Wien IISKU AmstettenAustria Wien IIAustria Wien IIBregenzLieferingAustria Wien IIAustria Wien IIAustria SalzburgSKN St. PoltenAustria Wien IIAustria Wien IIBlau Weiss LinzAustria Wien IINeuhofen / Ried IIAustria Wien IILafnitzParndorfAustria Wien IIDonaufeldAustria Wien IIMattersburgAustria Wien IISPG Hogo WelsVoitsbergAustria Wien IISPG Hogo WelsSPG Hogo WelsBregenzSPG Hogo WelsFirst ViennaBlau Weiss LinzSPG Hogo WelsKSV 1919SPG Hogo WelsSPG Hogo WelsAdmira Wacker ModlingSKU AmstettenSPG Hogo WelsSPG Hogo WelsRapid Wien IILieferingSPG Hogo WelsSPG Hogo WelsAustria SalzburgVfB HohenemsSPG Hogo WelsMAS TaborskoSPG Hogo WelsSPG Hogo WelsRapid WienSPG Hogo WelsLASK LinzAustria Wien IISPG Hogo WelsAustria Wien IISPG Hogo WelsSPG Hogo WelsAustria Wien II| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Blau Weiss Linz | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |  First Vienna | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:9 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria Wien II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Admira Wacker Modling | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13:10 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 |  SKU Amstetten | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:14 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Austria Salzburg | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Wacker Innsbruck | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Liefering | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Floridsdorfer AC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Voitsberg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Bregenz | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  SKN St. Polten | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Sturm Graz II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | SPG Hogo Wels | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |  KSV 1919 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rapid Wien II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 7 |
Austria Wien II vs SPG Hogo Wels Prediction (Oct 16)
The Austria Wien II vs SPG Hogo Wels prediction points to a home win in this 2. Liga fixture on Oct 16 at 17:30. Based on the stats, Austria Wien II has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and SPG Hogo Wels has a 17% chance. The hosts are clear favorites thanks to a superior league position and a perfect head-to-head record.
Team Form
Austria Wien II's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five matches (W, W, L, W, L). They have been strong at home, beating Rapid Wien II 4-1 and Bregenz 2-0. Their only recent home defeat was against Liefering. SPG Hogo Wels have also recorded two wins and three losses in their last five (W, L, L, W, L). Their away form is a concern, with heavy defeats against Blau Weiss Linz (4-1) and First Vienna (3-1).
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Austria Wien II. They have won both previous meetings, with SPG Hogo Wels yet to secure a draw or a win. The most recent clash was on Mar 7, 2026, where Austria Wien II won 1-0 at home. Earlier, on Aug 29, 2025, they won 1-0 away. The aggregate score across the two matches is 2-0.
League Table Positions
Austria Wien II sit 3rd in the 2. Liga overall standings with 15 points from 8 games. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 11. At home, they are 5th with 9 points from 4 matches. SPG Hogo Wels are not in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a lower league position. The 12-point gap and the hosts' strong home record give them a significant advantage.
Win Probability: Austria Wien II or SPG Hogo Wels?
We calculate the win probability based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record. The bookmakers' odds (home: 2.15, draw: 2.32, away: 3.05) imply probabilities after removing the margin. Adjusting for Austria Wien II's 100% H2H win record and their 3rd-place league position against a lower-ranked opponent, the true probabilities are: Austria Wien II win 58%, draw 25%, SPG Hogo Wels win 17%. The data clearly suggests Austria Wien II are the more likely winners.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds for this match are: home win at 2.15, draw at 2.32, and away win at 3.05. Bookmakers see Austria Wien II as the favorite, which aligns with their strong head-to-head record and higher league standing. Our Austria Wien II vs SPG Hogo Wels prediction is a home win, based on the stats and the calculated 58% win probability.
Austria Wien II vs SPG Hogo Wels โ FAQ
- Who will win Austria Wien II vs SPG Hogo Wels?
- Austria Wien II is the most likely winner with a 58% probability. The draw has a 25% chance, while SPG Hogo Wels has a 17% chance of winning. This is based on Austria Wien II's perfect head-to-head record and higher league position.
- What is the win probability for Austria Wien II?
- Austria Wien II has a 58% chance of winning the match. This high probability is supported by their two previous wins against SPG Hogo Wels and their 3rd-place standing in the 2. Liga.
- When is the Austria Wien II vs SPG Hogo Wels match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, at 17:30 local time. It is a 2. Liga fixture in Austria.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for the match are 2.15 for an Austria Wien II win, 2.32 for a draw, and 3.05 for a SPG Hogo Wels win. These odds reflect the bookmakers' view of Austria Wien II as the favorite.