Juan Pablo II - Sport Boys prediction 17 October 2026

Our Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys prediction looks ahead to this Primera Division fixture on Oct 17 at 21:00. Based on our analysis of form, head-to-head stats, and the latest odds, Juan Pablo II enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while a draw sits at 33% and a Sport Boys victory at 22%.

Team Form

Juan Pablo II come into this match in strong shape, with three wins and two draws in their last five outings. Their recent results include a 4-0 home win over Cesar Vallejo Moquegua on Sep 20, a 2-1 away victory at UTC Cajamarca on Sep 11, and a high-scoring 4-3 win at Los Chankas CYC on Aug 29. They also drew 1-1 away to Comerciantes Unidos on Oct 10 and 1-1 at home against Alianza Lima on Sep 6.

Sport Boys have also been competitive, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They beat Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 at home on Sep 13, Sporting Cristal 1-0 at home on Aug 30, and Cienciano 5-1 at home on Aug 23. A 1-1 draw away to FBC Melgar on Sep 20 and a 2-1 away defeat to Sport Huancayo on Sep 5 round out their recent form.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met three times previously, with the head-to-head record perfectly balanced. Juan Pablo II have one win, one draw, and one loss against Sport Boys. In the most recent encounter on Apr 26, 2026, the teams played out a 1-1 draw when Sport Boys were the home side. Earlier, Juan Pablo II recorded a convincing 3-0 home win on Jul 20, 2025, while Sport Boys won 1-0 at home on Feb 9, 2025.

League Table Positions

Looking at the Primera Division standings, a new season appears to be getting underway as both clubs are yet to play a match according to the available data. Juan Pablo II are currently ranked 12th overall with 0 points, while Sport Boys sit 10th overall, also on 0 points. Because no matches have been played, league position offers limited guidance for this fixture, placing more emphasis on recent form and historical matchups.

Win Probability: Juan Pablo II or Sport Boys?

We calculate the win probabilities for this match based on available odds, recent form, head-to-head history, and the home advantage factor. Starting with the raw odds (home 2.82, draw 2.12, away 3.35 from the primary bookmaker), we removed the overround to derive implied true probabilities. These were then adjusted upward for Juan Pablo II due to their slightly stronger recent form (unbeaten in five, including two clean-sheet wins) and home advantage, while Sport Boys' case was tempered by the quality of their away performances.

The final outcome probability assessment is: Juan Pablo II has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Sport Boys has a 22% chance. The total equals 100%. Juan Pablo II is the more likely winner based on the stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive matchup. The best available odds in the prematch market show a home win for Juan Pablo II at 2.82, a draw at just 2.12, and an away win for Sport Boys at 3.35. The notably short price on the draw signals that the market expects a tight contest. Based on the stats, our Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys prediction is that the home side holds the edge, but the draw represents a significant probability and cannot be dismissed.