Sport Huancayo Reserves - Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction 12 October 2026

The Sport Huancayo Reserves vs Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction for this Segunda Division fixture on Oct 12, 2026, points to a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on recent form, league positions, and home advantage, Sport Huancayo Reserves enter the match as the more likely winner with a 45% probability, while Deportivo Llacuabamba have a 25% chance and a draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Sport Huancayo Reserves come into this game with a mixed run of results: L, W, W, W, L in their last five outings. They suffered a 0-1 home defeat against Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria on Oct 7, but previously enjoyed three straight wins, including a stunning 7-0 home victory over Escuela Municipal Deportivo Binacional on Sep 4 and away successes at Comerciantes Loreto (1-0) and Ayacucho FC (2-0). The attack has scored 22 goals in 16 league matches, while the defence has conceded 13.

Deportivo Llacuabamba’s recent form is less convincing: D, D, L, D, L. They have not won any of their last five matches, recording three draws and two losses. Their last outing was a 0-0 away draw at Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria on Sep 25. Earlier, they drew 0-0 at home with Molinos El Pirata, lost 2-3 away to Academia Deportiva Cantolao, drew 1-1 at home with Union Comercio, and lost 0-2 away to Universidad Cesar Vallejo. With 23 goals scored and only 10 conceded in 16 games, their overall defensive record is solid, but the current winless streak is a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Sport Huancayo Reserves and Deportivo Llacuabamba. This will be the first competitive meeting between the two sides, so no past results can be used to gauge the likely outcome.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda Division standings, Deportivo Llacuabamba sit 4th with 28 points from 16 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses), while Sport Huancayo Reserves are 7th with 25 points (7 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). The home table reveals a different picture: Sport Huancayo Reserves have collected 18 points from 8 home games (5 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses according to the standings, though their most recent home match was a defeat), scoring 15 and conceding only 2. Deportivo Llacuabamba’s away form has been less impressive – they have taken just 8 points from 8 away trips, with only 2 wins on the road all season. The 3-point gap in the overall table is offset by the clear home advantage for the hosts.

Win Probability: Sport Huancayo Reserves or Deportivo Llacuabamba?

After evaluating all available data, the win probabilities for this match are:

• Sport Huancayo Reserves win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Deportivo Llacuabamba win: 25%

These percentages are based on the teams’ recent form (Sport Huancayo Reserves have 3 wins in 5, Deportivo Llacuabamba have 0 wins in 5), the strong home record of the hosts, and Deportivo Llacuabamba’s struggles away from home. Although the visitors are higher in the overall table, the home advantage and current momentum give Sport Huancayo Reserves a clear edge. A draw is also a realistic outcome given Deportivo Llacuabamba’s three draws in their last five matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available in the provided data. Based purely on the statistical analysis – home form, recent results, and league positions – the most likely outcome is a home win for Sport Huancayo Reserves. The absence of any head-to-head history adds an element of unpredictability, but the numbers point to the hosts having the better chance to secure three points. A low-scoring affair could be on the cards, considering both teams’ defensive records and Deportivo Llacuabamba’s recent goal drought.