Botafogo SP - Sport Recife PE prediction 31 October 2026

The Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife PE prediction for this Serie B match on October 31, 2026, at 19:00 points towards a competitive fixture with the visitors holding a slight edge. Based on our win probability analysis, Sport Recife PE has a 44% chance of winning, while a draw sits at 35%, and Botafogo SP has a 21% chance.

Team Form

Botafogo SP's recent form has been impressive, winning four of their last five matches. They secured away victories against Avai SC (0-2), CRB AL (0-1), and Operario PR (1-2), along with a home win against Ceara CE (1-0). Their only recent blemish is a 0-1 home loss to Vila Nova GO.

Sport Recife PE's form is also strong, with three wins in their last five. They beat Criciuma SC (2-1) and Sao Bernardo SP (2-1) at home, and won away at Athletic Club MG (1-2). A 0-2 home loss to Fortaleza CE and a 1-1 away draw against Atletico Goianiense GO complete their recent results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows a balanced history. In 13 previous encounters, Botafogo SP has 5 wins, Sport Recife PE has 3, and there have been 5 draws. The most recent meeting, on July 11, 2026, ended in a 3-3 draw, continuing a trend of tight contests.

League Table Positions

Sport Recife PE sits higher in the Serie B standings. They are 7th with 54 points from 35 matches (14 wins, 12 draws, 9 losses). Botafogo SP is 12th with 47 points (13 wins, 8 draws, 14 losses). Looking at away form, Sport Recife PE's record is not directly available in the table, but Botafogo SP is ranked 6th in the away table with 23 points from 18 away games. The 7-point gap between the teams suggests a marginal advantage for the visitors.

Win Probability: Botafogo SP or Sport Recife PE?

Calculating the win probabilities, we base our assessment on the available odds and form. The inverse of the average odds (2.45, 2.08, 3.15) gives a raw probability that we normalize to remove the bookmaker margin. After adjustments for recent form and league position, the probabilities are: Sport Recife PE win at 44%, a draw at 35%, and a Botafogo SP win at 21%. The analysis indicates that while Sport Recife is more likely to win on paper, the draw is a very significant probability given the history and competitive nature of the encounter.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open contest. The available odds show an average price of 2.45 for a Botafogo SP win, 3.15 for a Sport Recife PE win, and a low 2.08 for the draw. The oddsmakers' main prediction leans heavily towards a stalemate. Based on the stats and the high probability of a draw reflected in the odds and H2H, the safest prediction for Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife PE is a draw, making the value potentially lie with the home side or the draw.