Sport Recife PE - Criciuma SC prediction 24 October 2026

The Sport Recife PE vs Criciuma SC prediction points to a tight Serie B contest on Oct 24 at 01:00. Based on the stats, Criciuma SC enters the match as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Sport Recife PE holds a 35% chance and the draw sits at 25%. This betting tip analysis breaks down team form, head-to-head records, and league table standings to answer who will win.

Team Form

Sport Recife PE's recent form reads L, D, W, W, L across their last five outings, showing inconsistency. In their most recent fixture on Oct 17, they fell to a 0-2 home defeat against Fortaleza CE. Prior to that, they drew 1-1 away to Atletico Goianiense GO and secured a 2-1 home win over Sao Bernardo SP. Away from home, a 2-1 victory at Athletic Club MG was followed by a 3-1 loss at Nautico PE.

Criciuma SC's last five results show W, L, W, W, L, indicating a slightly stronger recent spell. They won 1-0 at home against America Mineiro MG on Oct 12 but lost 1-0 away to Ceara CE. Two notable victories came against Londrina PR (2-0 away) and Avai SC (3-0 at home), while a 0-2 home loss to Operario PR interrupted their momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last eight meetings, Criciuma SC holds a narrow edge with 3 wins compared to 2 for Sport Recife PE, alongside 3 draws. The most recent clash on Jul 4 saw Criciuma SC secure a 1-0 home victory. The previous encounter at Sport Recife PE's ground ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw on Sep 10, 2023. Historically, this fixture has been evenly matched, with three of the last five meetings ending all square.

League Table Positions

Criciuma SC currently sits 5th in the Serie B standings with 56 points from 33 matches, while Sport Recife PE is positioned 8th with 51 points from 34 games. Criciuma's superior goal difference and higher points-per-game ratio underline their slight edge. At home, Sport Recife PE ranks 7th with 31 points from 17 games (8W-7D-2L), while Criciuma SC's away form places them 6th with 22 points from 16 matches (6W-4D-6L). The 5-point gap and game in hand favor the visitors.

Win Probability: Sport Recife PE or Criciuma SC?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds to remove margins, Sport Recife PE has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Criciuma SC holds a 40% probability. These percentages are calculated from the inverse of the odds, adjusted for recent form (Criciuma's 3 wins in 5 vs Sport's 2), the head-to-head record favoring Criciuma (3W-3D-2L), and the league table gap. Criciuma SC is more likely to win, but the high draw percentage reflects the 3 stalemates in the last 8 H2H meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open contest. The best available 1X2 odds show a home win at 2.35, a draw at 2.02, and an away win at 3.25. Based on the stats, Criciuma SC's superior league position and better recent form make them the value pick, but Sport Recife PE's solid home record (only 2 losses) suggests a draw is a strong possibility. Our final Sport Recife PE vs Criciuma SC prediction is a low-scoring affair where the visitors edge the chances.