Sport Recife PE - Fortaleza CE prediction 17 October 2026

This Sport Recife PE vs Fortaleza CE prediction looks at the Serie B match on Oct 17 at 00:30. Bookmaker odds, recent form and head-to-head data point to a tight contest: the draw is the most likely single result at 36%, while Sport Recife PE is slightly more likely to win than Fortaleza CE at 34% against 30%.

Team Form

Sport Recife PE have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches. Their results were a 1-1 away draw at Atletico Goianiense GO, a 2-1 home win over Sao Bernardo SP, a 2-1 away win at Athletic Club MG, a 3-1 away loss at Nautico PE and a 2-1 home win over Juventude RS.

Fortaleza CE are unbeaten in their last five with two wins and three draws. They won 1-0 away at America Mineiro MG, drew 1-1 at home with Nautico PE, drew 2-2 at home with Athletic Club MG, won 2-1 away at Londrina PR and drew 1-1 at home with Ceara CE.

Head-to-Head Record

Fortaleza CE lead the overall head-to-head with 11 wins to Sport Recife PE's 3, plus 4 draws. The last five meetings produced four Fortaleza CE wins and one Sport Recife PE win:

• Jun 28, 2026: Fortaleza CE 2-1 Sport Recife PE (Serie B)
• May 28, 2026: Sport Recife PE 0-2 Fortaleza CE (Copa do Nordeste)
• May 21, 2026: Fortaleza CE 1-2 Sport Recife PE (Copa do Nordeste)
• Apr 30, 2026: Fortaleza CE 2-0 Sport Recife PE (Copa do Nordeste)
• Sep 27, 2025: Fortaleza CE 1-0 Sport Recife PE (Serie A)

League Table Positions

In the Serie B overall standings, Fortaleza CE are 4th with 57 points from 33 games, and Sport Recife PE are 8th with 51 points from 33 games. Fortaleza CE have scored 39 goals and conceded 29, while Sport Recife PE have scored 45 and conceded 35. At home, Sport Recife PE rank 7th with 31 points from 16 games (8 wins, 7 draws, 1 loss). Away, Fortaleza CE rank 4th with 23 points from 16 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses).

Win Probability: Sport Recife PE or Fortaleza CE?

Using the inverse of average bookmaker odds and removing the margin, the market implies roughly 36% for a Sport Recife PE win, 39% for the draw and 24% for a Fortaleza CE win. We adjust for Fortaleza CE's strong recent head-to-head record (11 wins vs 3) and Sport Recife PE's solid home form, giving final probabilities of Sport Recife PE 34%, draw 36% and Fortaleza CE 30%. The draw is the most likely single outcome, but between the two teams, Sport Recife PE holds a marginal edge to win.

Sport Recife PE vs Fortaleza CE Prediction: Odds, Betting Tips & Final Verdict

Pre-match 1X2 odds range from 2.22 to 2.30 for Sport Recife PE, 2.05 to 2.10 for the draw and 3.20 to 3.75 for Fortaleza CE. Based on the stats, our final Sport Recife PE vs Fortaleza CE prediction is a closely fought match with the draw the most probable single result at 36%. If you need a match winner, Sport Recife PE is slightly more likely than Fortaleza CE at 34% against 30%.