SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte prediction for the Regionalliga match on October 3, 2026. Our analysis shows the draw is the most likely outcome with a 40% probability, while SV Rodinghausen has a 33% chance and Sportfreunde Lotte a 27% chance. Both teams are struggling for wins, making a stalemate the expected result.
Team Form
SV Rodinghausen's last five matches:
- Sep 27: Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1 SV Rodinghausen (L)
- Sep 18: SV Rodinghausen 1-1 Gutersloh 2000 (D)
- Sep 5: SV Rodinghausen 2-3 SC Wiedenbruck (L)
- Aug 22: Bocholt 2-2 SV Rodinghausen (D)
- Aug 15: SV Rodinghausen 1-1 Paderborn 07 II (D)
Sportfreunde Lotte's last five matches:
- Sep 19: Schalke 04 II 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte (L)
- Sep 2: Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 Bergisch Gladbach 09 (L)
- Aug 29: Koln II 2-2 Sportfreunde Lotte (D)
- Aug 23: Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 VfL Bochum II (L)
- Aug 14: Bonner 2-2 Sportfreunde Lotte (D)
Head-to-Head Record
Last five meetings:
- Mar 27, 2026: Sportfreunde Lotte 3-0 SV Rodinghausen
- Aug 2, 2025: SV Rodinghausen 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte
- Apr 5, 2025: Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 SV Rodinghausen
- Oct 30, 2021: SV Rodinghausen 3-0 Sportfreunde Lotte
- Apr 1, 2021: Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 SV Rodinghausen
Win Probability: SV Rodinghausen or Sportfreunde Lotte?
Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: SV Rodinghausen 33%, draw 40%, Sportfreunde Lotte 27%. The odds implied a tight contest with the draw having the highest probability (around 37.7% before adjustment). Both teams' recent form, laden with draws (three in five for Rodinghausen, two in five for Lotte), reinforces the likelihood of a stalemate. Home advantage gives Rodinghausen a slight edge over Lotte, but their inability to win matches and Lotte's recent H2H success balance the scales. Therefore, the draw is the most probable outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds reflect the close nature of this fixture. One bookmaker prices a home win at 2.42, a draw at 2.32, and an away win at 3.35. Another offers 2.25 for a home win, 2.38 for the draw, and 4.00 for an away win. The draw is consistently the shortest price, confirming the market's expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair. Our prediction aligns with this: a draw is the most likely result. A 1-1 scoreline could be on the cards, given both teams' tendency to concede and score sporadically.
SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte โ FAQ
- Who will win SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
- According to our win probability calculation, the draw is the most likely result at 40%. SV Rodinghausen has a 33% chance of winning, while Sportfreunde Lotte has a 27% chance. Both teams are in poor form, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.
- What is the win probability for SV Rodinghausen?
- SV Rodinghausen has a 33% chance of winning this match. Despite being the home side, their recent form (no wins in five games) reduces their likelihood, with the draw being the more probable outcome at 40%.
- When is the SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte match?
- The match is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 13:00 local time (1:00 PM). It is a Regionalliga fixture in Germany.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for this match vary by bookmaker. One bookmaker offers 2.42 for a home win, 2.32 for a draw, and 3.35 for an away win. Another lists 2.25, 2.38, and 4.00 respectively. The draw is priced as the most likely single outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between SV Rodinghausen and Sportfreunde Lotte?
- In their last six meetings, both teams have won twice and drawn twice. Sportfreunde Lotte has won the last two encounters, including a 3-0 victory in March 2026 and a 2-1 away win in August 2025.