| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 16 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:0 | +7 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
The Sporting de Cabinda vs Primeiro de Agosto prediction for this Girabola match on Sep 09 at 14:00 points to a clear away favorite. Based on the available data, Primeiro de Agosto has a 72% chance of winning, while Sporting de Cabinda sits at just 10% probability, with a draw at 18%. The gulf in form and league standing makes this a one-sided contest on paper.
Sporting de Cabinda's recent form is extremely poor. The team has lost its last five matches in a row, conceding 16 goals and scoring only 4 in those games. Defeats include a 2-1 loss to Luanda FC on Sep 05, a 5-1 thrashing by Primeiro de Agosto back in Nov 2023, and a 2-0 loss to Kabuscorp do Palanca. They have not won any of their recent outings.
Primeiro de Agosto arrives in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one draw. They beat Interclube 2-1 on Sep 01, secured a 2-1 away win at Primeiro De Maio De Benguela on Aug 27, and defeated Desportivo da Huila 1-0. The only minor blemish was a 1-1 draw with Redonda FC back in May. This run of form underlines their status as strong contenders.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Primeiro de Agosto. In their last three meetings, Primeiro de Agosto has won twice and drawn once. Sporting de Cabinda has never beaten them. The most recent clash on Nov 26, 2023, ended in a dominant 5-1 victory for Primeiro de Agosto. The previous match on Dec 22, 2021, finished 0-0, and the meeting on Mar 01, 2021, was a 2-1 win for Primeiro de Agosto. All three matches were played at Primeiro de Agosto's home ground.
The Girabola standings highlight the contrast between the two sides. Primeiro de Agosto sits in 2nd place with 9 points from 3 games, having won all three matches and boasting a goal difference of +3. Their home record is perfect with 2 wins from 2 games. Sporting de Cabinda is not listed in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a very low position. The point gap and performance levels suggest a significant mismatch.
Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Primeiro de Agosto has a 72% chance of winning, a draw has an 18% chance, and Sporting de Cabinda has a 10% chance. The calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 7.67, draw 3.78, away 1.42) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Sporting de Cabinda's five-match losing streak and Primeiro de Agosto's strong form. The head-to-head record, where Primeiro de Agosto has never lost to this opponent, further supports the away win. Primeiro de Agosto is the clear favorite to take all three points.
Bookmakers see Primeiro de Agosto as the strong favorite. The best available odds show an away win at 1.42, a draw at 3.78, and a home win for Sporting de Cabinda at 7.67. These odds reflect the huge gap in quality and recent results. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a comfortable victory for Primeiro de Agosto. The form guide and historical dominance make it hard to see anything other than an away win.