Sporting Gijon Women - Burgos Women prediction 3 October 2026

Sporting Gijon Women vs Burgos Women prediction for the Segunda Federacion Women match on October 3, 2026. Based on the latest odds and team form, Burgos Women are the favorites with a 50% win probability, while Sporting Gijon Women have a 25% chance and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Sporting Gijon Women come into this match in poor form, having lost four of their last five matches. Their only win in that run was a 2-0 home victory over Atletico Villalonga Women on February 21. Since then, they suffered a 1-2 home loss to Athletic Bilbao B Women (March 14), a 0-1 away defeat at CDE Racing Santander Women (March 22), a 0-2 loss at Barcelona C Women (May 10), and a 0-3 defeat at Real Oviedo Moderno Women in the Cup on September 9. They have scored just three goals in those five outings and conceded eight.

Burgos Women have shown more resilience with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five. They won 4-0 away at CA Osasuna B Women on September 20 and beat Bizkerre Women 2-1 at home in the Cup on September 9. However, they lost 0-4 at home to Cacereno Women on September 30 and 0-1 at home to Arratia CD Women on September 13. Their most recent away league match was a 1-1 draw at Celta de Vigo Women on April 26. Overall, Burgos have scored 7 goals in their last five matches, showing greater attacking threat.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Sporting Gijon Women and Burgos Women. This will be the first competitive encounter between the two sides.

Win Probability: Sporting Gijon Women or Burgos Women?

The bookmakers' odds (home 3.20, draw 3.30, away 2.00) imply probabilities of 28% for a Sporting Gijon win, 27% for the draw, and 45% for a Burgos win after removing the margin. Adjusting for current form, Sporting Gijon's four losses in five games and Burgos' two away wins in their last five shift the balance further. We assess the true probabilities as: Sporting Gijon Women 25%, draw 25%, Burgos Women 50%. Burgos Women are clearly the more likely winners based on all available data.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this Segunda Federacion Women match are: Sporting Gijon Women 3.20, draw 3.30, Burgos Women 2.00. Bookmakers see Burgos Women as the favorite, and our analysis supports that view. Based on the stats, the prediction is an away win for Burgos Women.