| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Sporting Lisbon B vs Lusitania Lourosa prediction for Sep 14, 2026, in Portugal's Segunda Liga. Based on the latest odds and team form, Sporting Lisbon B are slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while the draw is at 35% and Lusitania Lourosa have a 25% chance.
Sporting Lisbon B's last five results: a 3-1 away win against Feirense, a 2-1 home win over Farense, a 2-0 away loss to Penafiel, a 1-0 home win against Chaves, and a 1-0 away win at Avs Futebol Sad. They have kept three clean sheets in those five matches and scored 7 goals while conceding 4 in the league overall.
Lusitania Lourosa are unbeaten in their last five outings: a 2-1 home win over Avs Futebol Sad, a 2-0 away win at Academica Coimbra, a 2-2 home draw with SCU Torreense, a 1-0 away win at Amarante, and a 2-0 home win over Porto B. They have scored 9 goals and conceded only 3 in 5 league games, boasting the second-best defensive record in the division.
These sides have faced each other 4 times, with 2 wins apiece and no draws. In the last four meetings: Sporting Lisbon B won 1-0 at home (Feb 2025, Tercera Liga), Lusitania Lourosa won 2-1 at home (Apr 2025, Tercera Liga), Sporting Lisbon B won 4-0 at home (Oct 2025, Segunda Liga), and Lusitania Lourosa won 1-0 at home (Mar 2026, Segunda Liga). The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with the home team winning each Segunda Liga encounter.
Lusitania Lourosa sit 2nd in the Segunda Liga table with 13 points from 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), while Sporting Lisbon B are 3rd with 12 points (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Lusitania have a goal difference of +6, Sporting +3. At home, Sporting have a 100% record (2 wins from 2), and Lusitania have a 100% away record (2 wins from 2). This sets up a clash between two in-form sides with perfect respective home and away records.
Based on the average bookmaker odds (home 2.17, draw 2.28, away 3.48), the implied fair probabilities after removing the margin are 38.8% for a Sporting Lisbon B win, 37.0% for a draw, and 24.2% for a Lusitania Lourosa win. Adjusting for Sporting's home advantage and both teams' strong form, we calculate the following win probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon B have a slight edge thanks to their perfect home record and the historical trend of the home side winning this fixture. However, Lusitania Lourosa's unbeaten start and solid defense keep the draw probability high and make them dangerous opponents.
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this match. Some have Sporting Lisbon B as low as 2.05, while others offer 2.37. The draw odds range from 2.08 to 3.17, and Lusitania Lourosa can be backed at between 3.40 and 3.75. The average odds are 2.17 (home), 2.28 (draw), and 3.48 (away), reflecting a tight contest with no clear favorite.
Our prediction: Based on the stats, Sporting Lisbon B are the most likely winners, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. We lean towards a home win, but caution is advised given Lusitania's unbeaten run.