CS Minerul Lupeni - SSU Politehnica Timisoara prediction 28 October 2026

The CS Minerul Lupeni vs SSU Politehnica Timisoara prediction for the Cup match on Oct 28, 2026, highlights SSU Politehnica Timisoara as the favorite to win, with a 55% probability. Based on recent form, division levels, and bookmaker odds, the visitors have a clear edge, while the hosts continue to struggle.

Team Form

CS Minerul Lupeni are in poor shape, losing four of their last five matches across Liga III and Cup. They have managed just one goal in those defeats, showing serious attacking limitations. Their only recent win came on the road against Acso Filiasi.

CS Minerul Lupeni last 5 matches

• Oct 23: CS Drobeta Turnu Severin 3–0 CS Minerul Lupeni (L)
• Oct 9: Acso Filiasi 0–1 CS Minerul Lupeni (W)
• Sep 26: CS Vulturii Farcasesti 2–1 CS Minerul Lupeni (L)
• Sep 19: Jiul Petrosani 1–0 CS Minerul Lupeni (L)
• Sep 2: CS Minerul Lupeni 0–3 UTA Arad (L)

SSU Politehnica Timisoara come into the match in excellent form, with four wins and a draw from their last five outings in Liga II. They have scored nine goals in that span and kept two clean sheets. Playing at a higher division level (Liga II) gives them a further advantage over the Liga III hosts.

SSU Politehnica Timisoara last 5 matches

• Oct 24: SSU Politehnica Timisoara 1–0 ASC Bacau (W)
• Oct 17: CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–1 SSU Politehnica Timisoara (W)
• Oct 8: SSU Politehnica Timisoara 1–1 CSA Steaua (D)
• Sep 19: Gloria Popesti Leordeni 3–4 SSU Politehnica Timisoara (W)
• Sep 12: SSU Politehnica Timisoara 2–1 Stefanestii de Jos (W)

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides have been evenly split. Each team has one win and one draw. The most recent encounter on May 10, 2025, ended 1–1 in Liga III. SSU Politehnica Timisoara won 3–1 on Mar 29, 2025, while CS Minerul Lupeni secured a 1–0 away win on Nov 2, 2024. Overall, the H2H from SSU Politehnica Timisoara’s perspective stands at 1 home win, 1 draw, and 1 away win.

Win Probability: CS Minerul Lupeni or SSU Politehnica Timisoara?

Bookmaker odds put the implied chances at 16.3% for a home win, 37.2% for a draw, and 46.6% for an away win (after removing the margin). The current form gap – with CS Minerul Lupeni on a 1 win in 5 run and SSU Politehnica Timisoara unbeaten in five – demands an adjustment. We also consider the division difference (Liga II vs Liga III) and home advantage for a Cup tie. That raises the away win probability to 55%, while the draw remains possible at 30%, and a home win drops to just 15%. The clear conclusion is that SSU Politehnica Timisoara are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers heavily favor the visitors. The best available odds show a CS Minerul Lupeni win at 5.30, a draw at 2.32, and a SSU Politehnica Timisoara win at 1.85. These numbers reflect the hosts’ poor form and the gulf in division quality. Our CS Minerul Lupeni vs SSU Politehnica Timisoara prediction is an away win – SSU Politehnica Timisoara should have enough superiority to secure the result. A draw remains a secondary threat, but given the visitors’ scoring record (9 goals in 5 games), expect at least one goal from them.