SD Galway - St. Patricks Athletic prediction 23 October 2026

The SD Galway vs St. Patricks Athletic prediction for the Premier Division match on October 23, 2026, points towards an away victory. Bookmakers and recent form suggest St. Patricks Athletic are the clear favorites, with our analysis giving them a 53% win probability. The match kicks off at 19:45 at Eamonn Deacy Park in Galway.

Team Form

SD Galway's recent results have been inconsistent. Their last five matches show a pattern of W, L, D, L, W. Highlights include a 2-0 home win over Shamrock Rovers on October 16 and a 3-1 away win at Sligo Rovers on September 14. However, they suffered a 0-2 home cup defeat against Derry City on October 10 and a 1-0 loss to Derry City in the league on September 18.

St. Patricks Athletic come into this fixture in much stronger form, with their last five results being L, W, W, W, D. They are scoring freely, evident in a 4-0 away demolition of Dundalk on September 14. They also secured wins against Sligo Rovers (1-0) and Shamrock Rovers (2-0). Their only recent blip was a 1-2 home loss to Shelbourne on October 16.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides leans in favor of St. Patricks Athletic. Across 15 previous meetings, St. Patricks Athletic have 6 wins, SD Galway have 3, and there have been 6 draws. The most recent clash on July 3, 2026, saw St. Patricks Athletic dominate with a 3-0 home victory. Earlier in the season, on May 1, 2026, they played out a 2-2 draw at this very venue, and on March 2, 2026, St. Patricks Athletic won 1-0 at home. SD Galway have not beaten St. Patricks Athletic in their last four encounters.

League Table Positions

The league table highlights a significant gap between the two teams. St. Patricks Athletic sit 3rd with 59 points from 33 games, boasting 17 wins and a strong goal difference of +26. SD Galway are 7th with 41 points, having won only 10 of their 33 matches. The away form of St. Patricks Athletic is particularly impressive; they are ranked 3rd in the away standings with 7 wins from 16 games. SD Galway's home form ranks 5th, with 6 wins and 6 draws from 17 matches at Eamonn Deacy Park.

Win Probability: SD Galway or St. Patricks Athletic?

Based on the available data, the calculated win probabilities for this match are:

• SD Galway win: 24%
• Draw: 23%
• St. Patricks Athletic win: 53%

These percentages are derived from the implied bookmaker odds, adjusted for team form and league position. The odds of 1.80 for an away win imply a strong likelihood, while SD Galway's inconsistent home form and poor H2H record against this opponent reduce their chances. St. Patricks Athletic's superior 3rd-place standing and excellent away record make them the justified favorite to claim all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see St. Patricks Athletic as the favorite for this Premier Division fixture. The pre-match 1X2 odds are: Home win (SD Galway) at 3.90, a draw at 3.55, and an away win (St. Patricks Athletic) at 1.80. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an away win. St. Patricks Athletic's superior league position, strong recent form, and dominant head-to-head record give them a clear advantage over an SD Galway side that has struggled for consistency.