Hinna - Staal Jorpeland prediction 2 October 2026

Our Hinna vs Staal Jorpeland prediction for the 3rd Division match on October 2, 2026 at 17:00 indicates a slight edge for the home side. Based on recent form, head-to-head record and home advantage, Hinna has a 40% chance of winning, while a draw and a Staal Jorpeland victory both stand at 30%.

Team Form

Hinna Form

Hinna enter this match with a mixed run of results over their last five league outings: W, D, L, L, W. Their most recent fixture was an impressive 4-2 away win against Haugesund II on September 28. Prior to that, they drew 2-2 at home with Akra, lost 4-1 at home to Madla, suffered a 2-0 defeat away to Vindbjart, and recorded a convincing 3-0 home victory over Vag. The team has scored 10 goals and conceded 10 in this period, showing a tendency to both hit the net and leak goals.

Staal Jorpeland Form

Staal Jorpeland's last five matches tell a story of struggle: L, D, W, L, L. A 4-2 loss away to Varhaug on September 25 extended a poor run. They managed a 2-2 home draw against Viking 2 and secured a 3-1 away win at Brodd, but then lost 2-0 at home to FK Mandalskameratene and 2-1 away to Stabaek 2. In these five games, they scored 8 goals but conceded 12, highlighting defensive issues that could be costly.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head between these two sides is perfectly balanced. Across five previous meetings, Hinna have won twice, Staal Jorpeland have won twice, and there has been one draw. The most recent clash was on June 25, 2026, ending in a 1-1 stalemate. Notably, Hinna lost their last home encounter 3-0 against Staal Jorpeland in October 2025, but they won 5-2 away earlier that season. The complete record is:

• Jun 25, 2026: Staal Jorpeland 1-1 Hinna
• Oct 3, 2025: Hinna 0-3 Staal Jorpeland
• Jun 14, 2025: Staal Jorpeland 2-5 Hinna
• Aug 12, 2021: Staal Jorpeland 2-0 Hinna
• Feb 5, 2020: Staal Jorpeland 0-1 Hinna (Friendly)

Win Probability: Hinna or Staal Jorpeland?

The mandatory win probability calculation, based on available form, head-to-head data and the home factor, yields the following percentages: Hinna has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Staal Jorpeland has a 30% chance. The reasoning is that Hinna's slightly better recent form (two wins in five versus one) combined with home advantage gives them a narrow edge. However, the evenly matched head-to-head record and Staal Jorpeland's ability to win at this ground in the past keep the contest wide open. Therefore, while Hinna are the marginal favourites, a draw or an away win are very realistic outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds are not included in the dataset for this fixture. With no market prices available, our prediction relies solely on the statistical analysis. Hinna come into the match as the slight favourite according to form and venue, but the pair's history shows that Staal Jorpeland are more than capable of taking points. A cautious approach suggests that the most likely outcomes lean towards a home win or a draw, but an upset away result cannot be ruled out. Our final prediction: based on the stats, Hinna are just about the more probable winner, yet the match is expected to be closely fought.