Stabaek - Strommen prediction 11 October 2026

The Stabaek vs Strommen prediction for this 1 Division match on October 11, 2026, points to a home win. Based on odds, form, and league positions, Stabaek has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Strommen has a 15% chance. The game kicks off at 16:00 local time in Norway.

Team Form

Stabaek's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches across all competitions, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 defeat away to Haugesund on October 3. Before that, they beat Sogndal 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 with Pors Grenland in the Cup, lost 2-0 at Bryne, and suffered a 3-2 home loss to Moss. Despite the mixed run, Stabaek have been strong at home in the league, winning 9 of 11 home fixtures.

Strommen's form is also patchy. Their last five results: a 3-3 home draw with Sandnes Ulf, a 4-2 away loss to Haugesund, a 1-1 draw at Sogndal, a heavy 9-1 Cup defeat at Tromsdalen, and a 2-0 home win over Bryne. Away from home in the league, Strommen have struggled, with only one win in their last five road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

Strommen have the edge in recent meetings. In the last three encounters, Stabaek have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. The most recent clash was on June 21, 2026, in the 1 Division, where Strommen won 1-0 at home. The other two matches were friendlies: a 2-1 Strommen win in February 2018 and a 3-3 draw in March 2017 when Stabaek were the home side.

League Table Positions

Stabaek sit 4th in the 1 Division table with 45 points from 24 matches (14 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). They have scored 57 goals and conceded 31. Strommen are 11th with 26 points (7 wins, 5 draws, 12 losses), scoring 38 and conceding 55. At home, Stabaek are formidable: 4th in the home standings with 27 points from 11 games (9 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses) and a goal difference of +19. Strommen's away record is outside the top eight, highlighting their travel struggles.

Win Probability: Stabaek or Strommen?

Stabaek has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Strommen has a 15% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 1.38, draw 2.98, away 5.30) after removing the margin, then adjusted for Stabaek's strong home form (9 wins in 11), their higher league position, and Strommen's poor away results. Although Strommen won the last H2H, the overall context heavily favors the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Stabaek as the clear favorite. The best available odds in the data are 1.38 for a home win, 2.98 for the draw, and 5.30 for an away win. Based on the stats, Stabaek are the more likely winners. The prediction is a home victory, possibly with a clean sheet given Strommen's away scoring difficulties. However, the recent head-to-head and Stabaek's own shaky form suggest a low-scoring affair cannot be ruled out.