Halesowen FC - Stafford Rangers prediction 6 October 2026

Halesowen FC vs Stafford Rangers prediction for the FA Cup replay on Oct 6, 2026. Halesowen FC (Southern League Premier Division) hosts Stafford Rangers (Northern Division One) after a 1-1 draw in the first match on Oct 3. Our win probability analysis gives Halesowen FC a 45% chance, the draw 33%, and Stafford Rangers 22%. Read on for betting tips, odds, and head-to-head stats.

Team Form

Halesowen FC's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five results: D, W, W, L, L. They scored 7 goals and conceded 8 in that span. At home, they recorded wins against Rushall Olympic (1-0) and Leighton Town (4-2), but suffered a 0-2 defeat to Real Bedford. The 1-1 draw at Stafford Rangers in the FA Cup first tie was a solid away result.

Stafford Rangers come into the replay with better momentum. Their last five matches: D, W, L, W, W, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home, they won 2-0 at Newcastle Town and 3-0 at Kidsgrove Athletic, though they lost 0-4 at Gloucester City. The 1-1 home draw against Halesowen FC extended their unbeaten run to four of the last five.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times in the past. Halesowen FC has yet to win, with 0 victories, 2 draws, and 1 Stafford Rangers win. The most recent encounter was the 1-1 draw on Oct 3, 2026. In two previous home matches against Stafford Rangers, Halesowen FC drew 1-1 and lost 2-6.

• Oct 3, 2026: Stafford Rangers 1-1 Halesowen FC (FA Cup)
• Sep 5, 2017: Halesowen FC 1-1 Stafford Rangers (National League North)
• Feb 7, 2017: Halesowen FC 2-6 Stafford Rangers (National League North)

Win Probability: Halesowen FC or Stafford Rangers?

We calculate the win probabilities using bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head data. The raw implied probabilities from the odds (home 1.71, draw 2.50, away 4.00) were adjusted for the teams' performances and history. Halesowen FC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Stafford Rangers has a 22% chance. The home side is the favorite, but the head-to-head record and the recent draw suggest a tight match with a high probability of a stalemate.

Halesowen FC vs Stafford Rangers Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers have priced Halesowen FC as the favorite with odds around 1.71 for a home win. The draw is offered at 2.50, while an away win for Stafford Rangers is at 4.00. These odds reflect home advantage, but the value may lie in the draw market given the teams' history.

Our prediction: based on the stats, this FA Cup replay is likely to be closely contested. Halesowen FC has the edge, but Stafford Rangers' recent away form and the teams' tendency to draw point towards a possible stalemate. For betting tips, the double chance (Halesowen FC or Draw) offers a safer option, while a draw no bet on the home side could also be considered. We expect a low-scoring affair, possibly another 1-1 draw. For more Halesowen FC vs Stafford Rangers prediction insights, see the FAQ section.