Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec prediction 30 October 2026
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Stal Mielec
Ruch ChorzowPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPolonia WarszawaChrobry GlogowPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiRadomiak RadomPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiLKS LodzUnia SkierniewicePogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiWarta PoznanPodhale Nowy TargPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiBruk-Bet Termalica NiecieczaPolonia BytomPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiStal RzeszowMiedz LegnicaPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPuszcza NiepolomiceLechia GdanskPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiLegia WarszawaPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiStal MielecChrobry GlogowMiedz LegnicaStal MielecStal MielecWarta PoznanLechia GdanskStal MielecStal MielecBruk-Bet Termalica NiecieczaStal MielecOdra OpoleGornik LecznaStal MielecPogon SiedlceStal MielecLKS LodzStal MielecStal MielecPolonia BytomStal MielecStal RzeszowStal MielecPodbeskidzie Bielsko-BialaUnia SkierniewiceStal MielecStal MielecAvia SwidnikStal MielecJaroslaw| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.10 | |
| 2.05 | 2.40 | 3.15 | |
| 2.05 | 2.40 | 3.10 |
Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiStal MielecStal MielecPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Ruch Chorzow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 |
| 3 |  Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |  LKS Lodz | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:19 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 |  Miedz Legnica | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |  Warta Poznan | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 |  Stal Rzeszow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Pogon Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Chrobry Glogow | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 |  Puszcza Niepolomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 12 |
| 18 |  Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec Prediction (Oct 30)
Our Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec prediction for this I Liga match on Oct 30 at 19:30 focuses on the league leaders. Based on the stats, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has a 46% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Stal Mielec has a 24% chance.
Team Form
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is inconsistent with results of L, W, L, W, L in their last five matches. At home, they lost 0-1 to Polonia Warszawa on Oct 17 but beat LKS Lodz 2-0 on Sep 19. Their away form has been stronger, including a 4-0 win at Chrobry Glogow on Oct 10.
Stal Mielec's last five results are D, L, W, L, L. They drew 0-0 at home with Chrobry Glogow on Oct 24 and lost 3-0 at Miedz Legnica on Oct 17. Their only recent win was a 2-1 home victory against Warta Poznan on Oct 11.
Head-to-Head Record
In the head-to-head record, both teams have one win each. The most recent meeting was on Apr 6, where Stal Mielec won 2-1 away at Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki. Earlier, on Sep 19, 2025, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2-1 away at Stal Mielec.
League Table Positions
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki sits 1st in the I Liga table with 21 points from 12 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 19 goals and conceded 11. Stal Mielec is not in the top 12 of the overall standings provided, indicating a lower position. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's home record is 5th best with 11 points from 6 games, while their away record is 3rd best with 10 points from 6 games.
Win Probability: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki or Stal Mielec?
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has a 46% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Stal Mielec has a 24% chance. These probabilities are based on the bookmaker odds (home: 2.10/2.05, draw: 2.40, away: 3.10), adjusted for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's strong league position, better overall form, and home advantage. Stal Mielec's poor recent away form and lower table position reduce their chances.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the favorite with odds around 2.10 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.40, and a Stal Mielec away win at 3.10. Based on the stats, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki is more likely to win, but the draw is a significant possibility given their inconsistent home form.
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec โ FAQ
- Who will win Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
- Based on our analysis, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has a 46% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Stal Mielec has a 24% chance. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki is the favorite due to their 1st-place league position and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
- Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has a 46% win probability. This is calculated from the odds and adjusted for their strong league standing and Stal Mielec's poor away form.
- When is the Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec match?
- The match is on Oct 30 at 19:30. It is a Poland I Liga fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win are around 2.10, the draw is 2.40, and a Stal Mielec win is 3.10. These are 1X2 prematch odds from bookmakers.