Stal Stalowa Wola - Slask Wroclaw II prediction 10 October 2026

This Stal Stalowa Wola vs Slask Wroclaw II prediction focuses on the II Liga match in Poland on Oct 10 at 15:00. Our adjusted win probability model gives Slask Wroclaw II a 38% chance of winning, Stal Stalowa Wola 34%, and the draw 28%. Based on the stats, this is closer than the bookmakers' home-focused odds suggest.

Team Form

Stal Stalowa Wola have struggled in their last five matches, posting L-W-L-D-L. They lost 4-2 at Znicz Pruszkow on Oct 4, beat Resovia Rzeszow 2-0 at home on Sep 20, lost 5-0 at Podhale Nowy Targ on Sep 12, drew 3-3 at home with Zawisza Bydgoszcz on Sep 4, and lost 2-1 at Hutnik Krakow on Aug 29. That is one win, one draw, and three defeats.

Slask Wroclaw II's last five results across all competitions are D-W-L-L-W. They drew 0-0 at home with Legia Warszawa II on Oct 3, beat Hutnik Krakow 2-0 at home on Sep 20, lost 4-2 at Sandecja Nowy Sacz on Sep 13, lost 1-0 at home to Olimpia Grudziadz on Sep 6, and beat Beskid Andrychow 3-1 away in the Cup on Sep 2. Slask Wroclaw II have two wins in that run compared with Stal's one.

Head-to-Head Record

Head-to-head record heavily favours Slask Wroclaw II. In all three meetings, Stal Stalowa Wola have 0 wins, 0 draws, and Slask Wroclaw II have 3 wins.

• Aug 5, 2026, Cup: Slask Wroclaw II 3-2 Stal Stalowa Wola
• Mar 13, 2026, II Liga: Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Slask Wroclaw II
• Aug 30, 2025, II Liga: Slask Wroclaw II 3-2 Stal Stalowa Wola

Slask Wroclaw II have outscored Stal Stalowa Wola 7-4 across these three H2H games.

League Table Positions

The available II Liga standings segment lists 12 teams, but neither Stal Stalowa Wola nor Slask Wroclaw II is in that top 12. The table is led by Znicz Pruszkow with 23 points from 10 games, followed by Gornik Leczna and GKS Tychy, both on 20 points. Therefore, a direct league-position gap between these two teams cannot be taken from the available data.

Win Probability: Stal Stalowa Wola or Slask Wroclaw II?

We calculate the win probability using the 1X2 odds as a base and then adjust for form and head-to-head record. The three odds sets are: home 2.38, draw 2.30, away 3.60; home 2.28, draw 2.32, away 3.75; home 2.25, draw 3.75, away 3.25. The inverse odds normalized produce roughly Stal Stalowa Wola 40%, draw 34%, Slask Wroclaw II 26% before adjustment.

However, Slask Wroclaw II have won all three previous meetings, including a 1-0 away win in March 2026. Stal's latest form L-W-L-D-L is also worse than Slask's D-W-L-L-W. Home advantage is already priced into the odds, but Stal Stalowa Wola's recent home results are mixed. These factors push the probability toward the away side. Our final adjusted probabilities are: Stal Stalowa Wola 34%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw II 38%. The total is 100%.

Who will win? According to this model, Slask Wroclaw II have the highest chance at 38%.

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Slask Wroclaw II Prediction: Odds & Verdict

The available 1X2 odds show bookmakers see Stal Stalowa Wola as a slight home favourite. The home odds range from 2.25 to 2.38, the draw odds range from 2.30 to 3.75, and the away odds range from 3.25 to 3.75. That means the market expects a tight match, but home success is not strongly priced.

Based on the stats, the best value may be with Slask Wroclaw II in the double chance market, while the draw also holds an elevated 28% probability. Final match prediction: Slask Wroclaw II are the most likely winner at 38%, so betting tips lean towards an away win or draw no bet, but the match outcome remains close.