Standard Liege Women - Genk Women prediction 3 October 2026

Standard Liege Women vs Genk Women prediction for Oct 3, 2026 at 18:30 in the Super League Women in Belgium. Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league table, the draw is the likeliest result at 38%, while Standard Liege Women have a 36% chance to win and Genk Women 26%.

Team Form

Standard Liege Women's recent results across all competitions are W, L, W, L, L. In Super League Women play they won 4-3 away at Zulte-Waregem Women on Sep 26, lost 0-5 at home to Oud Heverlee Leuven Women on Sep 19, beat Raal La Louviere Women 1-0 at home on Sep 12, and lost 3-1 away at Club Brugge Women on Sep 5. Genk Women's last five results are W, L, D, L, L. In league play they beat KAA Gent Women 2-0 at home on Sep 25, lost 1-0 away at Club Brugge Women on Sep 19, drew 0-0 at home with Oud Heverlee Leuven Women on Sep 12, and lost 4-0 away at Anderlecht Women on Sep 5. Both teams have struggled defensively, but Standard Liege Women have picked up two league wins to Genk Women's one.

Head-to-Head Record

In 55 previous meetings, Standard Liege Women have won 21, Genk Women have won 17, and 17 have been draws. The recent edge belongs to Genk Women, who have three wins and two draws in the last five meetings. Those results: Standard Liege Women 0-2 Genk Women (Feb 18, 2026), Genk Women 2-0 Standard Liege Women (Jan 31, 2026), Standard Liege Women 0-0 Genk Women (Jan 10, 2026), Genk Women 2-0 Standard Liege Women (Sep 26, 2025), and Genk Women 1-1 Standard Liege Women (Mar 1, 2025).

League Table Positions

Standard Liege Women are 5th in the Super League Women with 6 points from 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Genk Women are 6th with 4 points, scoring 2 and conceding 5. At home Standard Liege Women have 3 points from 2 games with 1 goal scored and 5 conceded. Genk Women away from home have 0 points from 2 games with 0 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Win Probability: Standard Liege Women or Genk Women?

The win probability model starts from the inverse of the bookmaker odds and removes the margin. The odds imply roughly 34% for a Standard Liege Women win, 40% for a draw, and 26% for a Genk Women win before adjustments.

• Home/away factor: Standard Liege Women have 3 home points; Genk Women have 0 away points.
• Team form: Standard Liege Women have two wins in their last five; Genk Women have one win and one draw.
• Head-to-head: Genk Women are unbeaten in the last five meetings with three wins and two draws.
• League table: Standard Liege Women sit one place higher with two more points than Genk Women.

Win probability: Standard Liege Women 36%, draw 38%, Genk Women 26%. Based on the stats, the draw is the most likely single outcome, but Standard Liege Women are slightly more likely than Genk Women to take all three points.

Odds & Standard Liege Women vs Genk Women Prediction

Bookmakers see Standard Liege Women as the favourite against Genk Women in the 1X2 market, but the draw is priced lowest. The home win is offered between 2.55 and 2.70, the draw between 2.18 and 2.30, and the away win between 3.30 and 3.50. These betting odds align with our win probability: the draw is the most probable result, followed by a home win. Our final match prediction is a closely contested low-scoring game; the safest betting tip is the draw or a small home edge, but Genk Women cannot be fully ruled out based on their recent head-to-head results.