Luka Nad Jihlavou - Stara Rise prediction 23 August 2026

The Stara Rise vs Luka Nad Jihlavou prediction for August 31, 2025, in the Czech Republic 5 Liga points to a clear home favorite. Stara Rise enters this match with a 62% win probability, while Luka Nad Jihlavou faces an uphill battle at 18%, and the draw sits at 20%. The match kicks off at 14:30.

Team Form

Stara Rise's recent form across the last five matches reads W, L, L, W, D. In their most recent outing, they defeated Luka Nad Jihlavou 3-1 at home on August 31. Looking further back, they suffered a 1-0 away loss to Sapeli Polna, a 3-1 home defeat to Zdirec nad Doubravou, a 2-0 away win at Breclav, and a 1-1 home draw with Slovan Havlickuv Brod. The home side has shown they can score and win, especially on familiar ground.

Luka Nad Jihlavou's form guide reads L, D, L, D, D. Their last five results include a heavy 4-0 away loss to Slavoj Pacov, a 2-2 home draw with Slovan Kamenice nad Lipou, a 7-1 away thrashing at Tj Nova Ves U Nm Na Morave, a 1-1 home draw with TJ Sokol Bedrichov, and a 1-1 away draw at Zdar nad Sazavou. Conceding 15 goals in these five matches highlights major defensive issues.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to one match, which heavily favors the home side. Stara Rise has 1 win, Luka Nad Jihlavou has 0, and there have been 0 draws. The only meeting finished 3-1 to Stara Rise on August 31, 2025, in the 5 Liga. This direct H2H reinforces the notion of Stara Rise's superiority in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Czech Republic 5 Liga. While exact points and position gaps are not detailed in the current data, Stara Rise's positive result in the head-to-head and more balanced recent form suggest they hold a stronger standing in the division compared to their struggling opponents.

Win Probability: Stara Rise or Luka Nad Jihlavou?

Based on the available data, Stara Rise has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Luka Nad Jihlavou has an 18% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of typical odds, heavily adjusted for the 1-0 head-to-head advantage, Stara Rise's superior form (two wins in five vs. zero wins in five), and the home-ground factor. Luka Nad Jihlavou's leaky defense and inability to secure a victory in recent outings drastically reduce their win probability. The conclusion is clear: Stara Rise is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds from bookmakers are not available in the current data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Stara Rise as the clear favorite. The prediction is a home win for Stara Rise, driven by their H2H victory, better form, and Luka Nad Jihlavou's poor defensive record away from home.