Stevenage - Plymouth Argyle prediction 20 October 2026
Stevenage
Plymouth ArgyleStevenage
Milton Keynes DonsStevenagePlymouth ArgyleBradford CityStevenageStevenageWigan AthleticStevenageLeicester CityAFC WimbledonStevenageWalsallStevenageLeyton OrientStevenageStevenageLuton TownBarnsleyStevenagePeterborough UnitedStevenageStevenageDoncaster RoversStevenageReadingStevenageOxford UnitedBurton AlbionStevenageCambridge UnitedPlymouth ArgyleStevenagePlymouth ArgylePlymouth ArgyleHuddersfield TownPlymouth ArgyleAFC WimbledonNewport CountyPlymouth ArgyleLeyton OrientPlymouth ArgylePlymouth ArgyleBurton AlbionPlymouth ArgyleCrystal Palace U21BlackpoolPlymouth ArgylePlymouth ArgyleBarnsleyDoncaster RoversPlymouth ArgyleLeicester CityPlymouth ArgylePlymouth ArgyleBradford CityPlymouth ArgyleCoventry CityWycombe WanderersPlymouth ArgyleStevenagePlymouth ArgylePlymouth ArgyleStevenageStevenagePlymouth ArgyleStevenagePlymouth ArgylePlymouth ArgyleStevenagePlymouth ArgyleStevenagePlymouth ArgyleStevenagePlymouth ArgyleStevenagePlymouth ArgyleStevenage| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield Town | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:12 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 |  Bradford City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:5 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 22 |
| 5 |  Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Cambridge United | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:17 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Oxford United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Luton Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | +4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Leicester City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 |  Wycombe Wanderers | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:14 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:19 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 |  Doncaster Rovers | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 |  Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 |  Peterborough United | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:26 | -16 | 9 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Wigan Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction (Oct 20)
Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle prediction: the League 1 match on Oct 20, 2026, at 19:45 sees Plymouth Argyle as the favourite with a 40% win probability. Stevenage have home advantage but face a side they have historically struggled against, and the bookmakers' odds reflect a very tight contest.
Team Form
Stevenage's last five matches: L, W, W, D, W. They lost 2-0 away to Bradford City on Oct 17, but before that beat Wigan Athletic 1-0 at home and Leicester City 2-1 in the EFL Trophy. A 0-0 draw at AFC Wimbledon and a 6-1 thrashing of Walsall show mixed but improving form.
Plymouth Argyle's last five: L, W, D, W, L. They fell 2-0 at home to Huddersfield Town on Oct 17, after a 2-1 home win over AFC Wimbledon. A 2-2 draw at Newport County in the EFL Trophy, a 2-0 win at Leyton Orient, and a 1-0 home loss to Burton Albion highlight inconsistency.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is one-sided: in 8 meetings, Plymouth Argyle have 7 wins, Stevenage 0, and 1 draw. The most recent clash on Mar 17, 2026, ended Plymouth 1-0 Stevenage. Stevenage's only point came in a 1-1 home draw on Jan 1, 2026.
League Table Positions
Plymouth Argyle sit 4th in League 1 with 19 points from 11 games (6 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, goals 18:14). Stevenage are 12th with 12 points from 9 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, goals 12:10). Plymouth also boast the 3rd-best away record in the division (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss).
Win Probability: Stevenage or Plymouth Argyle?
Based on odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as: Stevenage 25%, draw 35%, Plymouth Argyle 40%. The bookmakers' average implied chances (after removing the margin) were around 31.5% home win, 36.8% draw, 31.7% away win. We adjusted heavily in Plymouth's favour due to their 7-0 head-to-head advantage and superior league standing, while Stevenage's solid recent home form prevents a bigger gap. Plymouth Argyle are the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' 1X2 odds vary: Stevenage win is priced between 2.40 and 2.92, a draw between 2.12 and 3.40, and a Plymouth win between 2.40 and 2.92. The market sees this as an even contest, but our analysis points to an away victory. Prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a draw also a strong possibility. Betting tips: the value may lie in backing Plymouth on the Draw No Bet market or taking the double chance X2.
Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle โ FAQ
- Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle?
- Plymouth Argyle are the favourites with a 40% win probability, compared to 25% for Stevenage and 35% for a draw. The visitors' dominant head-to-head record (7 wins to 0) and higher league position give them a clear edge.
- What is the win probability for Plymouth Argyle?
- Plymouth Argyle have a 40% chance of winning. This figure is based on bookmakers' odds adjusted for their 7-0 head-to-head advantage over Stevenage and their 4th-place standing in League 1.
- When is the Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle match?
- The match kicks off on Oct 20, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a League 1 fixture in England.
- What are the odds for Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle?
- Odds vary across bookmakers: a Stevenage home win is offered around 2.80โ2.92, a draw at 2.12โ3.40, and a Plymouth Argyle away win at 2.70โ2.92. The market indicates a very close match.
- What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Plymouth Argyle?
- In 8 previous meetings, Plymouth Argyle have won 7 times, Stevenage 0, with 1 draw. The last match on Mar 17, 2026, ended Plymouth 1-0 Stevenage.